NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	82		Excitement	3.4 [1096]		MVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): +8.8%
Boston Celtics	105		Comeback	1.0 [1243]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): -9.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.01	15	64%	0.09	2	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	58%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	9	19%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	7	29%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	13	41%	-0.03	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	15	41%	-0.05	3	-0.05	7	86%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	14	58%	0.11	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	18	52%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	13	58%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	14	61%	0.06	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	87%	0.05	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	29.2	15.6	29.3	2.7	29.3	132.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.9%

BOS +2.7%

BOS +14.6%

GSW -11.0%

GSW -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BOS	NBA	GSW	BOS	NBA
this game	13.9	15.7	15.4	85.4	107.1	105.7
season	13.5	15.6		109.8	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.1		98.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	13.5	14.2	15.3	13.9
BOS	13.8	17.1	16.4	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Mbenga	16	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-26	29	12.7	14.2	-1.50	17.2	15.4	1.74
Brandan Wright	25	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.15	-6	-17	11	15.4	13.4	2.03	15.6	15.8	-0.23
Patrick O'Bryant	16	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-19	15	13.6	14.0	-0.38	17.0	15.5	1.51
Marco Belinelli	43	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-14	5	14.3	13.7	0.62	16.6	15.0	1.64
Andris Biedrins	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-15	7	13.1	14.6	-1.41	14.7	16.5	-1.74
Austin Croshere	30	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.24	-16	-7	-9	15.7	13.1	2.61	15.7	15.8	-0.08
Baron Davis	60	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-13	3	13.1	15.3	-2.14	15.3	16.4	-1.12
Mickael Pietrus	56	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-10	-3	13.3	14.8	-1.52	15.3	16.3	-0.96
Monta Ellis	84	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-9	-5	13.8	14.9	-1.12	16.4	11.2	5.11
Kelenna Azubuike	49	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.26	-22	-1	-21	14.8	13.1	1.67	15.0	16.6	-1.57
Stephen Jackson	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	-7	-9	14.1	13.7	0.34	15.7	15.8	-0.14

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	67	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.16	22	1	21	15.4	16.4	-0.95	14.2	13.2	1.00
Paul Pierce	73	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	13	-3	15.5	16.5	-1.05	13.2	16.1	-2.86
Eddie House	47	46	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.21	18	5	13	17.1	14.5	2.59	15.5	12.5	3.04
James Posey	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	15	-7	17.4	14.5	2.85	14.7	13.3	1.39
Ray Allen	66	66	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	15	-7	15.3	16.7	-1.37	13.6	14.7	-1.11
Kendrick Perkins	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	15	-7	14.4	16.9	-2.57	12.7	15.1	-2.39
Brian Scalabrine	23	22	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	14	-5	17.8	15.1	2.68	16.3	13.2	3.09
Tony Allen	38	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.20	14	9	5	16.1	15.5	0.65	15.4	13.1	2.30
Rajon Rondo	58	56	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	14	-5	14.6	17.3	-2.69	12.5	15.9	-3.41
Scot Pollard	20	18	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	22	-21	16.2	15.6	0.65	13.3	14.1	-0.81
Glen Davis	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	15.7	15.7	-0.02	12.8	14.0	-1.18
Leon Powe	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	13.7	15.8	-2.07	13.7	13.9	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, OKC 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
PHI 80, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
SAS 83, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%