inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 128 Excitement7.8 [318] MVPBrandon Miller (CHA): +32.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves 125 Comeback39.5 [10] LVPLaMelo Ball (CHA): -11.6%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Miller0.330,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.330.270.080.021396%0.3300.002100%0.01
P.J. Washington0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.110.090.00780%0.2000.0010%-0.01
Nick Smith Jr.0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.040.120.004100%0.212-0.0500%0.00
Ish Smith0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.003100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Miles Bridges0.050,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.09-0.010.042355%0.091-0.045100%0.03
Leaky Black0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.020.04387%0.0500.002100%0.03
Nathan Mensah0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.001100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Bryce McGowens0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
JT Thor-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.000.04387%0.022-0.04250%-0.01
Terry Rozier-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.05-0.011242%0.084-0.12250%-0.01
LaMelo Ball-0.120,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12-0.02-0.100.001845%-0.101-0.02475%-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.20.200.150.060.01990%0.231-0.022100%0.02
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.040.00693%0.1500.00250%-0.03
Anthony Edwards0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.040.04-0.050.06-0.031137%0.041-0.002100%0.05
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.040.040.31-0.210.063574%0.257-0.211471%-0.02
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.00550%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Shake Milton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.01540%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.030.00945%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Jordan McLaughlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.02-0.070.01271%0.041-0.093100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.030.014.627.02.030.2130.6
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +45.5%
MIN -11.0%
CHA +2.0%
CHA +12.9%
CHA +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAMINNBACHAMINNBA
this game14.214.314.5128.0122.5113.9
season14.814.8108.3114.4
opponent14.714.5108.4118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA13.614.913.015.314.2
MIN14.113.314.715.314.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Miller58600.78-0.281.050.3714-112513.914.6-0.7616.311.54.74
Leaky Black10110.57-0.070.640.2710-71711.914.4-2.5312.214.6-2.41
P.J. Washington65690.51-0.010.520.336-3914.114.3-0.2515.412.23.23
Nick Smith Jr.30300.420.080.350.0413-102315.013.81.1215.713.71.98
LaMelo Ball75760.280.220.07-0.0110-71713.815.4-1.5714.414.00.40
JT Thor35360.220.28-0.06-0.059-61513.114.8-1.6414.214.4-0.21
Terry Rozier72730.110.39-0.280.49-1316-2914.613.11.4414.214.7-0.50
Miles Bridges84850.100.40-0.290.49-1316-2914.512.61.8513.717.6-3.98
Nathan Mensah3533-0.010.51-0.520.08-36-914.314.10.2512.215.4-3.23
Ish Smith2224-0.180.68-0.87-0.01-69-1513.714.3-0.5813.214.7-1.42
Bryce McGowens1413-0.300.80-1.100.05-1215-2717.113.73.3610.814.8-4.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Naz Reid32290.21-0.710.910.036-91513.414.8-1.3514.114.2-0.06
Jordan McLaughlin23230.14-0.640.77-0.015-81312.214.9-2.7313.614.4-0.80
Shake Milton3233-0.14-0.360.210.03-63-913.414.8-1.4013.514.5-0.99
Anthony Edwards7977-0.25-0.250.00-0.457-101713.716.5-2.7714.214.3-0.11
Kyle Anderson4644-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.03-85-1314.014.6-0.5314.613.90.69
Karl-Anthony Towns8080-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.380-3314.214.9-0.6814.014.9-0.90
Jaden McDaniels7372-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.38-41-515.311.83.5014.413.70.70
Nickeil Alexander-Walker6262-0.620.12-0.73-0.47-52-715.113.12.0714.613.61.01
Rudy Gobert8380-0.700.20-0.90-0.41-107-1715.111.23.9014.214.2-0.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.45,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.64,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.39,0.1,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 82, MIA 790.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.69,0.36,0.24,0.15,091.6%
PHI 95, HOU 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.29,0.16,0.09,091.5%
NOH 76, HOU 730.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.1,0,091.4%