NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	7.9 [251]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +12.0%
Houston Rockets	93		Comeback	9.2 [61]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -17.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.12	-0.03	0.13	-0.01	17	51%	0.22	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	10	64%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	6	67%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	14	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Andre Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	13	47%	-0.00	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.09
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	14	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	8	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	11	36%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	10	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.13	5	-0.22	4	75%	-0.06
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	8	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.18	-0.18	0.01	-0.19	-0.00	20	53%	-0.07	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	31.2	15.8	24.3	1.7	36.6	136.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +18.9%

PHI +24.3%

PHI +6.8%

HOU -1.3%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	15.5	100.0	95.9	106.4
season	15.5	16.3		105.3	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.9		102.7	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.3	13.6	13.9	18.8	14.7
HOU	16.7	13.1	15.5	16.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	57	59	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-8	18	14.3	15.3	-1.04	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Thaddeus Young	51	57	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.43	7	-5	12	13.0	16.6	-3.62	16.3	13.9	2.34
Elton Brand	51	53	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	-4	10	14.0	15.5	-1.54	15.5	15.0	0.46
Marreese Speights	42	43	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-10	22	14.2	15.1	-0.86	14.5	15.9	-1.41
Andre Miller	75	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.49	-2	4	-6	14.4	15.7	-1.34	15.4	14.8	0.62
Andre Iguodala	66	66	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.36	-6	8	-14	16.1	11.5	4.57	14.9	16.2	-1.36
Royal Ivey	24	23	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	0	2	15.6	14.4	1.24	14.3	15.6	-1.36
Theo Ratliff	4	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	2	-2	17.2	14.6	2.67	11.3	15.4	-4.09
Reggie Evans	13	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	4	-6	15.8	14.5	1.33	12.2	15.7	-3.57
Samuel Dalembert	55	55	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.18	-11	13	-24	15.3	13.9	1.42	16.4	13.9	2.50
Willie Green	37	38	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	8	-14	15.1	14.4	0.63	15.8	15.0	0.81

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Von Wafer	19	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-1	0	14.9	15.4	-0.50	17.2	14.1	3.12
Yao Ming	66	65	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-9	16	16.0	13.8	2.15	15.7	12.5	3.26
Charles Hayes	15	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	2	-6	13.5	15.6	-2.17	10.9	15.3	-4.42
Carl Landry	35	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	3	-8	15.1	15.4	-0.38	14.9	14.6	0.34
Luis Scola	71	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-4	6	15.0	16.0	-1.01	14.1	16.5	-2.47
Aaron Brooks	33	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	2	-6	14.8	15.6	-0.77	14.3	14.9	-0.58
Shane Battier	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-8	14	15.1	15.6	-0.51	15.1	14.0	1.09
Rafer Alston	64	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-4	6	15.6	14.8	0.77	14.9	14.3	0.58
Tracy McGrady	72	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	3	-8	15.7	14.3	1.37	14.1	16.3	-2.15
Metta World Peace	46	45	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.53	-8	6	-14	15.4	15.2	0.13	14.6	14.8	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.29,0.16,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 118, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.72,0.86,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.45,0.1,0.04,0	92.7%
MIN 99, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.32,0.31,0	92.1%
SAS 74, CLE 68	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	91.7%