NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	7.3 [327]		MVP	Randy Foye (MIN): +38.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	9.0 [72]		LVP	Kirk Snyder (MIN): -10.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.38	0.17	0.24	0.04	12	72%	0.38	0	0.00	12	83%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.11	0.02	22	62%	0.26	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Craig Smith	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.02	5	69%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	13	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Richard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	11	32%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	16	69%	0.29	5	-0.18	10	100%	0.05
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.06	0.02	12	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	12	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	7	39%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.04
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	16	46%	0.02	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	27.7	15.7	30.2	2.4	38.3	141.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +32.7%

LAC -15.6%

MIN +10.3%

MIN +19.7%

MIN +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.4	107.6	105.5	105.7
season	15.9	15.6		102.2	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.8	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.7	18.0	15.7	16.8	15.9
LAC	14.0	17.1	15.0	16.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	74	74	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.45	12	-9	21	16.4	13.6	2.82	15.7	15.3	0.37
Rashad McCants	60	57	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-13	29	15.2	17.1	-1.81	16.3	14.5	1.79
Craig Smith	37	37	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	16.6	15.4	1.24	17.0	14.6	2.32
Ryan Gomes	69	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	2	-1	16.1	15.1	1.00	15.0	17.3	-2.29
Randy Foye	77	76	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	3	-3	15.5	17.9	-2.37	14.9	19.2	-4.32
Corey Brewer	45	44	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	-1	5	13.8	17.9	-4.07	16.3	15.0	1.32
Marko Jaric	39	40	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.24	-4	7	-11	17.7	14.5	3.15	16.1	15.2	0.86
Chris Richard	10	9	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	9	-15	13.3	16.2	-2.90	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Kirk Snyder	49	50	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	15	-27	16.5	15.2	1.35	14.8	16.6	-1.76

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	36	38	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.11	8	-11	19	16.1	15.3	0.81	15.4	16.2	-0.74
Dan Dickau	54	53	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.04	9	-12	21	14.9	16.6	-1.64	16.1	15.6	0.55
Andre Barrett	23	26	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-2	1	16.3	15.4	0.95	14.1	16.6	-2.46
Quinton Ross	6	8	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	0	-3	14.0	15.7	-1.71	13.6	16.1	-2.47
Al Thornton	74	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.51	9	-12	21	15.5	15.8	-0.28	17.2	10.8	6.42
Corey Maggette	77	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	1	-5	15.3	17.1	-1.83	15.7	16.7	-1.05
Chris Kaman	65	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.56	-6	3	-9	15.3	16.3	-0.95	16.2	15.1	1.09
Tim Thomas	49	50	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.39	-13	10	-23	16.8	14.2	2.61	15.1	16.8	-1.67
Cuttino Mobley	71	71	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.45	-14	11	-25	15.5	15.8	-0.26	15.9	15.8	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.32,0.31,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.6,0.74,0.54,0.31,0.28,0	92.1%
PHI 95, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.29,0.16,0.09,0	92.1%
POR 110, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.61,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.66,0.55,0.46,0.24,0.16,0	91.8%