NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	8.0 [219]		MVP	Rasual Butler (LAC): +28.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	11.3 [274]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -35.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.32,0.41,0.23,0.14	0.11	0.05	0.01	20	68%	0.27	5	-0.12	7	71%	0.03
Jawad Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	17	49%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	55%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Parker	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,-0.03	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	7	70%	0.18	3	-0.20	6	83%	0.02
JJ Hickson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.29	0.29	0.22	0.09	0.02	18	80%	0.38	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.20	0.05	0.01	16	80%	0.29	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	3	133%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.00	10	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.36	-0.36	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	10	35%	-0.27	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.7	33.5	16.4	25.8	2.7	34.0	139.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -27.7%

CLE +14.2%

CLE +55.5%

CLE +4.3%

CLE +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAC	NBA	CLE	LAC	NBA
this game	16.2	16.7	15.3	115.9	116.1	106.0
season	16.1	15.5		109.5	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.0		108.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.8	17.9	14.7	15.5	16.2
LAC	14.5	18.1	15.9	18.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	52	49	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.46	14	-13	27	16.0	16.5	-0.48	17.7	15.4	2.32
Anthony Parker	66	64	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.49	4	-3	7	15.7	17.7	-1.95	16.1	18.4	-2.30
Anderson Varejao	57	57	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.47	2	-1	3	17.5	13.9	3.52	17.2	15.7	1.58
LeBron James	70	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.50	-1	2	-3	16.5	15.1	1.39	16.7	16.6	0.07
Jawad Williams	29	29	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	0	1	16.2	16.2	0.04	17.6	16.3	1.28
Mo Williams	66	66	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.29	-7	8	-15	16.4	15.8	0.59	16.7	16.7	0.05
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	28	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.12	3	-2	5	17.1	15.8	1.31	16.4	16.8	-0.38
JJ Hickson	33	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	4	-7	14.3	17.3	-3.01	15.5	17.4	-1.85
Shaquille O'Neal	39	39	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	9	-17	15.7	16.7	-0.99	16.1	17.2	-1.08

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	60	58	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.14	5	-6	11	15.5	19.3	-3.76	16.2	16.2	-0.03
DeAndre Jordan	41	40	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.04	6	-7	13	15.1	18.2	-3.08	16.1	16.3	-0.21
Sebastian Telfair	20	21	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-2	3	18.8	16.1	2.79	16.9	16.0	0.90
Brian Skinner	22	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	10	-21	16.9	16.6	0.22	14.2	17.0	-2.82
Rasual Butler	80	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-3	5	17.0	13.3	3.71	16.1	17.7	-1.63
Eric Gordon	73	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.56	4	-5	9	16.4	18.2	-1.80	16.2	16.2	0.00
Craig Smith	37	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.62	2	-3	5	18.5	15.4	3.15	17.1	15.5	1.64
Baron Davis	67	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.55	-2	1	-3	16.1	18.8	-2.79	16.0	16.9	-0.90
Ricky Davis	38	39	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.46	-14	13	-27	17.6	16.0	1.61	16.4	16.1	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.6,0.74,0.54,0.31,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, DAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.75,0.55,0.22,0.15,0	92.5%
MIN 99, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.32,0.31,0	92.1%
CLE 123, PHI 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.42,0	91.3%