NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	74		Excitement	7.0 [411]		MVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): +4.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	68		Comeback	14.4 [40]		LVP	Chris Mills (CLE): -27.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Elliott	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	63%	0.06	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.03
Vinny Del Negro	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	9	64%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Greg Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Kempton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	9	41%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Charles Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.02	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Dominique Wilkins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	9	44%	0.03	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.11,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	10	36%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	18	52%	0.04	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.07	-0.07	12	29%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	6	0%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.19,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.14	-0.14	-0.00	9	42%	-0.09	4	-0.19	8	37%	-0.07
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.28	-0.28	-0.10	-0.20	-0.02	17	35%	-0.12	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.3	25.5	15.7	25.2	1.5	38.4	136.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +48.6%

SAS +9.2%

CLE -38.3%

SAS +26.5%

SAS +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CLE	NBA	SAS	CLE	NBA
this game	17.8	18.2	15.6	93.7	84.0	104.4
season	16.8	17.8		100.8	102.1
opponent	16.1	15.4		100.0	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.6	17.1	18.7	18.9	17.8
CLE	19.4	18.9	18.2	16.3	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominique Wilkins	43	45	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.45	12	-6	18	17.2	18.5	-1.30	17.0	19.6	-2.59
Vernon Maxwell	46	48	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-4	14	17.2	18.7	-1.45	16.3	20.9	-4.62
Avery Johnson	69	72	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-10	26	17.9	17.6	0.26	18.4	16.0	2.44
Sean Elliott	68	70	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-5	16	18.5	13.6	4.86	18.1	18.6	-0.54
Greg Anderson	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	1	4	18.2	14.4	3.72	19.1	11.8	7.27
Monty Williams	1	1	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	6	-6	3.0	18.0	-15.01	53.0	17.7	35.26
Tim Kempton	4	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	7	-8	16.2	17.9	-1.66	15.2	18.4	-3.17
Charles Smith	16	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.15	4	2	2	19.6	17.4	2.26	20.4	17.4	3.02
Cory Alexander	10	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	16	-26	17.6	17.9	-0.26	16.0	18.4	-2.44
Vinny Del Negro	34	34	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	10	-14	18.1	17.6	0.52	20.3	16.6	3.71
Carl Herrera	32	30	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.01	-13	19	-32	16.7	18.6	-1.80	16.3	19.3	-2.92

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark West	18	17	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.16	3	-9	12	19.2	17.9	1.28	19.6	17.3	2.25
Reggie Geary	15	12	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.07	9	-15	24	13.9	19.2	-5.28	18.8	17.6	1.19
Donny Marshall	11	10	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.00	5	-11	16	16.7	18.4	-1.67	16.1	18.1	-1.97
Antonio Lang	21	19	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.09	6	-12	18	17.2	18.5	-1.26	16.6	18.2	-1.57
Vitaly Potapenko	43	43	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-9	12	17.7	18.7	-0.96	17.7	18.0	-0.27
Carl Thomas	20	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-4	2	15.4	19.1	-3.62	15.9	18.4	-2.54
Bob Sura	63	62	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-1	-4	18.5	16.9	1.65	17.9	17.7	0.15
Tyrone Hill	48	47	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	3	-12	19.6	16.1	3.51	19.2	15.8	3.33
Chris Mills	70	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.32	-11	5	-16	18.4	16.7	1.67	18.1	16.1	1.97
Danny Ferry	28	30	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.37	-11	5	-16	18.6	17.9	0.72	16.8	18.4	-1.65
Terrell Brandon	68	67	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.22	-18	12	-30	18.7	15.5	3.23	17.6	18.8	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.45,0.29,0.05,0.01,0	94.0%
PHI 118, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.72,0.86,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.45,0.1,0.04,0	91.9%
PHI 95, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.29,0.16,0.09,0	91.7%