NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	104		Excitement	6.8 [434]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +17.7%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	14.2 [147]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -31.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.18	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	23	66%	0.25	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	19	55%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	5	57%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Danny Green	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	9	45%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Manu Ginobili	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	18	47%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Tiago Splitter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	13	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	11	73%	-0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	5	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	7	53%	0.10	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	14	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	15	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.10	-0.20	0.01	18	28%	-0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.5	30.4	15.4	26.3	1.8	33.2	131.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +50.7%

SAS +21.4%

IND -32.2%

SAS +6.4%

SAS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	IND	NBA	SAS	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	16.3	15.4	110.6	103.2	104.1
season	15.2	16.1		106.4	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.0	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.5	15.6	14.2	13.3	14.4
IND	16.2	17.8	13.0	18.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	73	73	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.26	23	-16	39	14.3	14.7	-0.44	16.2	16.4	-0.15
Tim Duncan	63	62	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.29	15	-8	23	14.1	14.9	-0.84	15.7	17.3	-1.63
Boris Diaw	49	49	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	3	1	13.9	14.9	-1.08	18.1	14.3	3.79
Danny Green	64	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	6	-5	14.2	14.8	-0.63	17.0	14.7	2.28
Manu Ginobili	59	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	4	-1	13.8	15.3	-1.50	15.1	18.1	-2.95
Gary Neal	53	55	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	3	1	14.3	14.4	-0.12	16.4	16.1	0.28
Matt Bonner	17	16	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	1	5	15.6	14.1	1.48	16.5	16.2	0.28
DeJuan Blair	29	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.08	2	5	-3	16.1	13.6	2.55	15.9	16.4	-0.58
Patty Mills	10	9	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	10	-13	16.7	14.1	2.60	17.3	16.2	1.18
Nando De Colo	10	12	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.07	-10	17	-27	13.9	14.4	-0.53	15.7	16.4	-0.69
Tiago Splitter	43	44	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.04	-10	17	-27	14.6	14.2	0.34	15.5	16.9	-1.40

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	30	29	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.06	9	-16	25	15.2	16.7	-1.52	14.9	14.1	0.76
Gerald Green	32	32	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.02	10	-17	27	15.8	16.5	-0.73	15.3	13.9	1.43
Sam Young	43	44	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.10	5	-12	17	15.4	17.0	-1.52	13.9	14.8	-0.83
Ian Mahinmi	33	33	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.02	7	-14	21	17.1	15.8	1.32	14.9	14.1	0.83
Tyler Hansbrough	36	35	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.00	6	-13	19	15.9	16.5	-0.66	15.3	13.8	1.55
Lance Stephenson	45	45	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	2	-11	17.5	15.1	2.39	14.7	14.1	0.61
Roy Hibbert	59	58	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.29	-13	6	-19	16.1	16.5	-0.44	14.1	14.8	-0.70
David West	58	59	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.30	-13	6	-19	16.5	15.9	0.66	13.8	15.3	-1.55
Paul George	67	67	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.28	-18	11	-29	16.4	15.9	0.48	14.0	15.3	-1.30
George Hill	67	68	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.34	-19	12	-31	16.2	16.3	-0.09	14.1	15.0	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.45,0.29,0.05,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 74, CLE 68	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	94.0%
PHI 118, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.72,0.86,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.45,0.1,0.04,0	91.9%
PHI 95, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.29,0.16,0.09,0	91.7%