NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	8.1 [257]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +31.5%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	7.9 [407]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -21.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.16	0.00	8	94%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.12	0.03	14	49%	0.14	0	0.00	9	67%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	13	70%	0.22	3	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.08	-0.05	0.07	21	59%	0.07	3	-0.11	7	71%	-0.03
Amir Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	13	32%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Simmons	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.07	0.02	11	43%	-0.07	5	-0.14	8	37%	-0.15

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.01	10	67%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	11	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	71%	0.13	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.05
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.03	0.03	16	69%	0.16	3	-0.12	3	33%	-0.04
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	11	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Hicks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	13	32%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	0.7	26.5	14.7	26.1	2.3	36.5	134.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +24.0%

NYK -7.4%

PHI +35.0%

NYK -9.3%

PHI +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	13.7	14.7	14.7	115.7	108.9	107.5
season	13.9	14.9		108.1	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.3	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.5	14.1	16.3	12.3	13.7
NYK	13.7	14.7	15.0	15.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	66	67	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-3	14	13.8	13.5	0.26	15.1	13.9	1.16
JJ Redick	65	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-4	16	13.5	14.1	-0.56	14.3	15.2	-0.86
Joel Embiid	68	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-2	12	13.8	13.6	0.21	15.4	13.4	1.96
Dario Saric	59	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	4	0	13.9	13.3	0.60	14.7	14.7	-0.05
Ben Simmons	70	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	3	2	13.5	14.0	-0.49	14.9	14.3	0.59
Marco Belinelli	59	60	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	7	-6	13.6	13.8	-0.16	14.2	15.3	-1.11
Amir Johnson	23	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	8	-8	14.0	13.6	0.45	13.4	15.1	-1.69
Ersan Ilyasova	51	50	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	8	-8	13.8	13.6	0.18	14.8	14.5	0.27
T.J. McConnell	49	49	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.08	-3	11	-14	13.5	13.9	-0.40	14.4	14.9	-0.49

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Burke	51	54	0.32	-0.82	1.13	-0.03	12	-20	32	14.0	15.4	-1.46	14.3	13.0	1.35
Kyle O'Quinn	50	52	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.05	5	-13	18	14.2	15.1	-0.92	14.0	13.4	0.66
Frank Ntilikina	26	27	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-10	12	15.2	14.5	0.63	15.3	13.1	2.23
Isaiah Hicks	28	28	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.06	-1	-7	6	14.7	14.7	0.04	15.9	12.9	3.03
Damyean Dotson	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-4	0	16.5	14.4	2.06	13.8	13.7	0.16
Michael Beasley	72	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	-1	-6	14.6	14.8	-0.15	13.0	15.4	-2.35
Courtney Lee	78	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.21	-11	3	-14	15.0	13.5	1.50	13.7	13.5	0.20
Tim Hardaway Jr.	75	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	2	-12	14.5	15.2	-0.63	13.1	15.3	-2.23
Emmanuel Mudiay	62	61	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	5	-18	14.5	14.9	-0.39	12.8	15.0	-2.14
Enes Kanter	51	50	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.32	-13	5	-18	15.1	14.2	0.92	13.4	14.0	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.72,0.86,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.45,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 95, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.29,0.16,0.09,0	92.7%
SAS 104, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.45,0.29,0.05,0.01,0	91.9%
SAS 74, CLE 68	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	91.9%