NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	76		Excitement	6.5 [563]		MVP	Dan Dickau (NOH): +6.7%
Houston Rockets	73		Comeback	26.6 [21]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -33.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Dickau	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	74%	0.13	1	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Casey Jacobsen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	5	56%	0.05	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Andersen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	8	41%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
P.J. Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.03	0.04	0.01	9	59%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Lee Nailon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	47%	-0.03	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
David West	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	8	18%	-0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torraye Braggs	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	10	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	8	55%	0.04	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.02
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	9	25%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	12	33%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.19	-0.15	-0.01	20	41%	-0.13	5	-0.20	11	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.5	23.5	16.6	29.2	1.8	36.3	134.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +31.5%

NOH +13.9%

NOH +2.2%

NOH +3.1%

HOU -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	HOU	NBA	NOH	HOU	NBA
this game	16.2	16.2	15.5	85.4	82.0	104.0
season	16.5	16.0		97.7	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.7		100.6	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.5	18.2	15.2	15.9	16.2
HOU	14.5	16.1	18.3	16.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	48	48	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.35	21	-18	39	14.9	17.6	-2.69	17.4	14.9	2.50
Chris Andersen	45	45	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.23	24	-21	45	15.3	17.0	-1.71	17.7	14.7	2.96
Casey Jacobsen	56	55	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.32	20	-17	37	15.1	18.0	-2.93	17.0	14.9	2.04
P.J. Brown	49	49	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.26	21	-18	39	15.5	17.0	-1.53	17.5	14.6	2.82
Lee Nailon	65	65	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.40	15	-12	27	15.5	17.9	-2.35	16.7	14.8	1.93
Bostjan Nachbar	25	24	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.08	-12	15	-27	17.2	15.7	1.45	14.8	16.7	-1.93
J.R. Smith	33	34	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	0.09	-17	20	-37	18.0	15.1	2.93	14.9	17.0	-2.04
David West	39	40	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	0.09	-18	21	-39	17.4	15.2	2.23	14.6	17.5	-2.82
Jamaal Magloire	42	42	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	0.08	-18	21	-39	17.2	15.2	2.05	14.9	17.3	-2.41
Speedy Claxton	43	43	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.17	-21	24	-45	17.4	15.0	2.35	14.6	17.7	-3.05

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	66	64	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.14	7	-10	17	15.7	17.7	-1.96	17.0	14.0	3.06
Torraye Braggs	1	2	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.02	1	-4	5	20.0	16.2	3.84	12.5	16.2	-3.74
David Wesley	55	56	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-10	17	15.6	17.1	-1.48	15.2	17.8	-2.69
Ryan Bowen	18	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	3	-9	18.7	15.6	3.09	18.2	15.7	2.57
Bob Sura	55	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.45	7	-10	17	14.7	18.6	-3.86	16.3	15.9	0.44
Jon Barry	31	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	0	-3	16.7	15.9	0.73	17.5	15.4	2.04
Scott Padgett	31	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.12	-17	14	-31	19.2	14.6	4.64	14.7	17.0	-2.25
Tracy McGrady	74	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.47	3	-6	9	15.6	19.2	-3.61	16.0	16.9	-0.92
Dikembe Mutombo	66	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.40	-1	-2	1	16.1	16.6	-0.49	16.4	15.4	1.07
Mike James	48	47	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.42	-13	10	-23	17.1	15.2	1.91	15.3	17.1	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.1,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.14,0.04,0	92.7%
BOS 105, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.6,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.09,0.01,0	92.1%
DAL 121, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	91.7%