inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 121 Excitement7.3 [339] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +21.3%
Golden State Warriors 116 Comeback10.4 [242] LVPAntawn Jamison (GSW): -12.5%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.210,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.210.070.150.011969%0.314-0.101392%0.06
Shawn Bradley0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.120.050.07-0.01962%0.1200.003100%0.02
Raef LaFrentz0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01767%0.0500.004100%0.02
Adrian Griffin0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.030.00760%0.081-0.041100%0.01
Nick Van Exel0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03-0.030.02-0.031551%0.092-0.06786%0.03
Avery Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.001100%0.041-0.023100%0.01
Raja Bell-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Steve Nash-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.001254%0.042-0.052100%0.03
Popeye Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Michael Finley-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06-0.02-0.030.001243%-0.0600.00475%-0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.140.140.140.030.031471%0.1400.003100%0.01
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.09-0.08-0.001372%0.102-0.08683%0.01
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.010.01-0.070.04-0.041345%0.093-0.08367%0.03
Danny Fortson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.011145%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Chris Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.00-0.00350%0.001-0.032100%0.01
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.040.00250%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.001138%-0.071-0.034100%0.02
Erick Dampier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.03450%-0.035-0.09450%-0.04
Antawn Jamison0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.09-0.022248%-0.062-0.071070%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.631.215.630.02.734.4139.4
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +38.5%
DAL +26.9%
GSW -28.5%
DAL +14.4%
GSW -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALGSWNBADALGSWNBA
this game13.714.815.5119.8114.9101.6
season15.114.6108.6105.3
opponent15.115.3106.8102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.413.713.414.313.7
GSW15.314.014.315.714.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Van Exel75740.66-0.160.820.3112-71913.314.8-1.5015.213.81.37
Shawn Bradley67670.62-0.120.740.417-2914.811.63.1715.014.40.66
Dirk Nowitzki95940.57-0.070.650.319-41313.811.52.3315.210.34.87
Adrian Griffin52530.370.130.230.196-1714.113.30.7914.615.1-0.50
Michael Finley72700.330.170.170.42-38-1113.214.9-1.7414.016.6-2.63
Steve Nash71750.240.26-0.020.1241314.212.41.7915.014.40.59
Popeye Jones980.110.39-0.28-0.076-1713.613.7-0.1518.514.53.99
Raja Bell66-0.030.53-0.560.03-27-95.214.2-9.069.715.1-5.48
Avery Johnson1211-0.030.53-0.560.06-38-1113.313.7-0.4115.614.70.91
Raef LaFrentz4647-0.340.84-1.18-0.02-1116-2713.214.1-0.8314.315.3-0.94

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Fortson11110.07-0.570.64-0.054-91313.115.0-1.9413.413.7-0.37
Erick Dampier38390.07-0.570.630.09-1-4314.714.9-0.2213.413.9-0.42
Chris Mills14140.01-0.510.530.04-1-4316.914.52.3611.914.0-2.13
Mike Dunleavy5049-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-3-2-114.714.9-0.1613.913.50.48
Jason Richardson6567-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.23-2-3114.415.6-1.2313.913.40.51
Earl Boykins5354-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-105-1514.715.0-0.2613.713.70.02
Troy Murphy8180-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.41-1-4314.814.8-0.0413.713.7-0.03
Gilbert Arenas7775-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.450-5514.715.2-0.5113.514.3-0.88
Adonal Foyle2929-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.28-72-917.313.83.5413.913.60.33
Antawn Jamison8787-0.510.01-0.53-0.40-4-1-314.516.9-2.3614.011.92.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.06,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 105, PHX 980.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.53,0.39,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.02,092.3%
NOH 76, HOU 730.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.1,0,091.7%
POR 97, NOH 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.14,0.04,091.2%