NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	105		Excitement	6.7 [435]		MVP	Brandon Bass (DAL): +11.1%
Phoenix Suns	98		Comeback	16.7 [32]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -30.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	13	66%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	21	48%	0.09	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.06,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.01	23	57%	0.14	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.06
Devean George	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.01	10	55%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	12	56%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	57%	0.07	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	-0.00	26	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.29,-0.31,-0.3	-0.30	-0.15	-0.16	-0.00	17	37%	-0.12	5	-0.18	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	4.4	26.4	18.4	31.6	4.3	40.3	150.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +3.9%

DAL +11.0%

DAL +7.7%

DAL +23.4%

DAL +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	15.4	114.1	106.5	105.7
season	16.1	13.8		108.9	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.4		106.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.8	15.8	16.8	15.3	15.9
PHX	14.2	14.2	17.5	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	84	84	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-5	17	15.7	17.2	-1.51	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Dirk Nowitzki	72	73	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.31	12	-5	17	15.9	15.6	0.34	15.8	13.9	1.87
Erick Dampier	53	53	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-2	11	16.3	15.3	0.93	15.5	15.4	0.13
Jason Kidd	72	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-2	11	15.3	17.9	-2.59	15.9	13.5	2.41
Devean George	22	21	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-4	15	15.7	15.9	-0.19	16.5	15.1	1.41
Jason Terry	68	67	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.15	-5	12	-17	15.5	17.0	-1.53	15.5	15.3	0.21
Tyronn Lue	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	6	-5	18.6	15.3	3.26	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Juwan Howard	6	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	11	-15	15.2	15.9	-0.75	12.7	15.6	-2.96
Eddie Jones	16	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	13	-19	17.5	15.5	1.97	12.2	16.1	-3.86
Antoine Wright	6	6	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	10	-13	15.2	15.9	-0.75	17.8	15.3	2.57
Brandon Bass	46	47	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.12	-1	8	-9	15.8	15.9	-0.13	14.9	16.0	-1.06

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	26	27	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.05	4	-11	15	14.5	15.8	-1.30	17.1	15.4	1.70
Grant Hill	66	63	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-7	7	15.0	16.6	-1.65	16.1	15.3	0.77
Boris Diaw	57	59	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-4	1	14.7	16.7	-2.02	15.5	16.5	-0.96
Leandro Barbosa	52	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-1	-5	15.3	15.6	-0.38	16.7	14.8	1.85
Amar'e Stoudemire	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-5	3	15.6	14.9	0.70	15.1	18.2	-3.13
Raja Bell	62	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	-1	-5	15.9	14.5	1.44	15.1	17.6	-2.51
Shaquille O'Neal	63	62	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.33	-11	4	-15	16.1	14.0	2.10	17.0	13.6	3.32
Steve Nash	66	65	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.34	-11	4	-15	15.8	14.5	1.30	15.4	17.1	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.53,0.39,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 121, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	92.3%
MIN 98, PHX 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.53,0.33,0.19,0.11,0,0,0	92.3%
BOS 99, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.77,0.64,0.41,0.39,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.02,0	92.0%