NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	6.3 [577]		MVP	Terry Rozier (BOS): +22.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	24.1 [71]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -25.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.00	8	75%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	20	50%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.02	0.07	20	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.01	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Marcus Smart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.09	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	6	33%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.09	0.03	19	61%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	12	41%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	16	59%	0.05	5	-0.16	2	0%	-0.03
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.12	0.01	18	33%	-0.16	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	29.8	14.8	30.2	1.8	29.7	132.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +67.2%

MIN -15.9%

MIN -7.2%

BOS +10.7%

MIN -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIN	NBA	BOS	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	14.8	102.1	95.9	107.7
season	14.7	15.3		110.1	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.9		110.2	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.9	15.9	14.9	13.3	14.8
MIN	15.7	14.1	12.3	18.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	36	35	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.38	20	-14	34	14.7	14.8	-0.11	16.8	13.9	2.88
Al Horford	73	74	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-4	14	14.2	16.5	-2.25	15.2	14.0	1.22
Marcus Smart	60	62	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.29	12	-6	18	14.9	14.5	0.49	15.0	14.7	0.29
Jaylen Brown	24	23	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-9	24	16.2	14.3	1.98	17.3	14.2	3.17
Terry Rozier	30	30	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	-4	14	15.6	14.4	1.21	16.5	14.2	2.23
Isaiah Thomas	67	67	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	10	-14	14.4	15.6	-1.21	14.2	16.5	-2.23
Avery Bradley	70	70	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.19	-9	15	-24	14.1	16.5	-2.43	14.0	17.2	-3.18
Tyler Zeller	18	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.01	-3	9	-12	15.7	14.5	1.18	13.3	15.3	-2.03
Amir Johnson	33	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.05	-2	8	-10	14.7	14.8	-0.10	15.0	14.9	0.06
Kelly Olynyk	25	26	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.03	-7	13	-20	15.6	14.5	1.13	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Jae Crowder	49	49	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.00	-12	18	-30	14.9	14.6	0.31	14.1	15.7	-1.59

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shabazz Muhammad	32	33	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.01	7	-13	20	14.1	15.3	-1.24	16.6	13.8	2.75
Kris Dunn	20	19	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-8	10	14.6	15.0	-0.41	17.2	14.2	3.04
Nemanja Bjelica	19	18	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-9	12	14.8	15.0	-0.17	17.3	14.2	3.09
Cole Aldrich	17	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-2	-2	13.2	15.3	-2.05	16.8	14.3	2.54
Brandon Rush	4	3	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	0	-6	22.2	14.6	7.64	15.7	14.7	0.93
Gorgui Dieng	80	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-4	2	15.3	13.2	2.05	14.3	16.8	-2.54
Zach LaVine	77	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	-1	-4	15.5	12.7	2.74	14.2	16.8	-2.57
Andrew Wiggins	81	81	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	2	-10	14.4	17.8	-3.45	14.5	16.1	-1.63
Karl-Anthony Towns	78	79	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.34	-9	3	-12	15.0	14.8	0.17	14.2	17.3	-3.09
Ricky Rubio	77	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.39	-8	2	-10	15.0	14.6	0.41	14.2	17.2	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.77,0.64,0.41,0.39,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.53,0.39,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.02,0	92.0%
MIN 98, PHX 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.53,0.33,0.19,0.11,0,0,0	91.1%
CLE 121, ATL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.66,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.4,0.22,0.11,0.04,0.03,0,0	90.6%