inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 82 Excitement7.7 [283] MVPUdonis Haslem (MIA): +16.7%
Miami Heat 79 Comeback7.5 [65] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -37.7%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0.130,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.130.010.130.011752%0.223-0.09887%0.02
Tyronn Lue0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.05-0.01462%0.082-0.0300%0.00
Josh Childress0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.00861%0.061-0.022100%0.03
Marvin Williams0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.030.010.020.01859%0.132-0.11683%0.04
Shelden Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mario West-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.040,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02729%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Al Horford-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.001030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.01-0.100.00462%0.042-0.1500%0.00
Josh Smith-0.200,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.16,-0.2-0.15-0.06-0.001735%-0.093-0.121267%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.170.170.060.09-0.02961%0.191-0.021090%0.04
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.04-0.011162%0.145-0.11729%-0.08
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.010.00183%0.062-0.05475%0.00
Alexander Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anfernee Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.00557%0.001-0.024100%0.02
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06-0.060.02-0.060.021553%-0.012-0.052100%0.01
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Smush Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.060.0020%-0.082-0.0500%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.21,-0.23,-0.38-0.38-0.08-0.29-0.001244%-0.234-0.14875%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.531.015.828.32.641.4146.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +24.6%
ATL +6.9%
ATL +23.5%
MIA -4.4%
MIA -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game17.115.215.492.188.8105.7
season15.416.0104.299.0
opponent15.415.7108.3107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.218.418.816.717.1
MIA12.118.615.516.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Williams58570.82-0.321.140.5011-81916.418.5-2.1415.015.7-0.71
Josh Smith66670.68-0.180.860.477-41117.017.4-0.3615.713.91.82
Zaza Pachulia42410.51-0.010.520.394-1516.118.0-1.9514.915.5-0.66
Anthony Johnson52540.360.140.220.39-14-516.218.4-2.1914.316.6-2.30
Joe Johnson80790.220.28-0.050.28-25-717.216.01.2515.017.1-2.10
Mario West1080.100.40-0.30-0.055-2719.916.83.1320.014.85.23
Tyronn Lue27270.040.46-0.420.07-14-517.916.81.0515.615.10.57
Al Horford4748-0.040.54-0.57-0.01-14-518.016.11.9515.514.90.66
Josh Childress4948-0.080.58-0.67-0.03-25-718.016.02.0016.014.31.70
Shelden Williams1416-0.120.62-0.730.03-58-1316.817.2-0.4013.115.7-2.65

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams46440.22-0.720.930.017-101714.316.2-1.9318.016.31.73
Alexander Johnson11110.05-0.550.600.050-3318.314.83.4717.717.00.69
Udonis Haslem7273-0.21-0.290.09-0.324-71114.319.1-4.7317.316.21.07
Alonzo Mourning3231-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-30-314.915.4-0.5120.115.54.56
Smush Parker2627-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.13-52-717.614.33.3115.617.8-2.20
Shaquille O'Neal5758-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.290-3315.414.90.5115.520.1-4.56
Anfernee Hardaway6666-0.550.05-0.61-0.41-52-715.913.32.6618.014.53.51
Ricky Davis8079-0.600.10-0.70-0.39-74-1115.116.3-1.2217.216.70.48
Dwyane Wade5556-0.640.14-0.77-0.46-63-914.815.9-1.0515.719.6-3.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.69,0.36,0.24,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 90, SAS 860.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.08,091.9%
IND 86, MEM 850.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.41,0.55,0.68,0.46,0.32,0.42,091.6%
CLE 106, NYK 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.09,0.04,091.6%