NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	86		Excitement	8.3 [230]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (MEM): +19.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	85		Comeback	4.1 [149]		LVP	Lorenzen Wright (MEM): -24.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.02	8	42%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	23	61%	0.21	4	-0.17	11	100%	0.20
Fred Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	33%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.12	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	17	50%	0.14	3	-0.18	4	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
James Jones	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.09	-0.02	12	69%	0.23	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.09	-0.00	6	73%	0.17	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	4	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.15	0.04	-0.18	0.01	19	62%	-0.02	2	-0.13	12	50%	-0.07
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.25	-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	3	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	1.8	34.0	15.5	26.4	2.7	34.1	144.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -10.3%

IND +40.9%

IND +1.7%

IND +10.2%

IND +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MEM	NBA	IND	MEM	NBA
this game	16.4	17.7	15.5	98.9	103.7	104.0
season	16.8	16.4		101.9	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.4	16.8	16.3	17.1	16.4
MEM	15.2	16.7	20.7	18.9	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	61	58	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.54	6	-5	11	14.5	20.7	-6.21	17.0	19.6	-2.66
Fred Jones	34	33	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.44	9	-8	17	15.5	16.9	-1.44	19.3	16.7	2.66
Jermaine O'Neal	70	67	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.55	2	-1	3	16.2	17.3	-1.14	18.1	16.0	2.13
Reggie Miller	72	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.51	2	-1	3	16.1	17.9	-1.88	17.0	21.1	-4.07
Jamaal Tinsley	64	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	0	1	15.8	18.0	-2.20	18.1	16.6	1.45
Michael Curry	28	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	3	-5	16.1	16.5	-0.40	17.2	17.9	-0.73
David Harrison	6	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	1	-1	18.0	16.3	1.74	16.0	17.9	-1.86
Anthony Johnson	27	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	2	-3	18.5	15.4	3.05	20.0	16.8	3.19
James Jones	15	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	6	-11	18.9	15.8	3.09	15.2	18.3	-3.10
Austin Croshere	36	33	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.13	-4	5	-9	19.5	14.2	5.37	18.5	17.3	1.19

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	49	50	0.24	-0.74	0.97	-0.09	11	-12	23	16.2	20.0	-3.83	16.2	16.6	-0.37
Dahntay Jones	17	20	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.12	-3	2	-5	20.0	17.2	2.85	17.7	16.0	1.71
Earl Watson	28	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	3	-7	18.5	17.4	1.15	17.6	15.7	1.92
Stromile Swift	27	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.13	-6	5	-11	18.2	17.5	0.71	15.9	16.6	-0.78
Pau Gasol	72	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.56	4	-5	9	17.9	16.8	1.08	16.5	15.5	1.06
Jason Williams	54	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.58	3	-4	7	17.4	18.5	-1.15	15.7	17.6	-1.92
Shane Battier	46	49	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.56	0	-1	1	18.2	17.1	1.08	16.4	16.4	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	59	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.51	-3	2	-5	17.4	18.7	-1.38	16.0	17.5	-1.49
Bonzi Wells	58	61	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.41	-7	6	-13	18.0	17.1	0.93	16.6	15.9	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.41,0.55,0.68,0.46,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, MIA 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.69,0.36,0.24,0.15,0	91.6%
MIA 101, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.28,0	91.6%
MIN 93, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.64,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.08,0	91.5%