inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 101 Excitement9.3 [110] MVPWalter Herrmann (DET): +37.3%
Detroit Pistons 96 Comeback5.4 [182] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -20.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamario Moon0.360,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.360.170.18-0.00789%0.3600.00580%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.330,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.330.080.290.031067%0.3300.004100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0.270,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.27,0.270.200.080.012365%0.352-0.081479%0.05
Jermaine O'Neal0.080,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.1,0.08-0.040.140.031641%0.111-0.042100%0.01
Luther Head0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.00183%0.062-0.06475%0.01
Michael Beasley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.02430%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Daequan Cook-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
James Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Mario Chalmers-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.2-0.03-0.18-0.01545%-0.132-0.071100%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Walter Herrmann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.370.37-0.000.37-0.00642%0.3700.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.08-0.00-0.001362%0.0800.0000%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.02-0.00270%0.0600.00683%0.02
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.00360%0.0500.00450%-0.04
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.04-0.001054%0.032-0.074100%0.03
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.001641%-0.031-0.022100%0.02
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.03939%0.033-0.105100%0.05
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0.1,-0.13-0.130.03-0.17-0.001857%-0.064-0.086100%0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.33.635.021.831.43.641.1163.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +58.7%
DET -10.5%
MIA +2.4%
MIA +1.5%
DET -2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADETNBAMIADETNBA
this game15.018.815.5120.2111.6106.4
season16.016.9105.9104.9
opponent15.715.7106.2105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.814.915.214.415.0
DET19.219.419.117.618.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamario Moon64650.68-0.180.850.3810-51515.114.90.1919.217.51.68
Udonis Haslem55560.58-0.080.660.4641315.015.1-0.1418.020.3-2.37
Dwyane Wade68690.57-0.070.640.2810-51514.616.7-2.1019.217.12.09
Mario Chalmers63640.450.060.390.47-16-715.115.00.0618.420.0-1.62
Jermaine O'Neal60610.410.090.310.207-2915.214.50.7119.117.91.23
James Jones21220.120.38-0.270.15-16-714.215.3-1.1416.719.5-2.77
Luther Head26280.080.42-0.34-0.137-2915.414.90.5419.318.50.79
Michael Beasley3032-0.070.57-0.64-0.1323-114.615.3-0.6420.417.82.57
Daequan Cook1111-0.100.60-0.690.08-611-1716.514.81.7217.319.0-1.74
Jamaal Magloire2222-0.210.71-0.91-0.00-712-1915.914.81.1118.418.9-0.51

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kwame Brown51510.28-0.781.06-0.0210-152518.519.2-0.7415.614.21.33
Walter Herrmann29270.09-0.590.680.15-2-3119.918.21.6713.715.7-2.04
Amir Johnson980.09-0.590.680.003-81120.118.61.4715.615.00.64
Arron Afflalo5252-0.08-0.420.33-0.080-5518.219.7-1.5615.115.00.08
Rodney Stuckey7069-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.484-91317.623.9-6.2515.214.50.63
Will Bynum4039-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.09-127-1919.917.82.1715.015.1-0.09
Tayshaun Prince6867-0.610.11-0.71-0.43-61-719.017.91.1415.114.60.50
Antonio McDyess7472-0.620.12-0.73-0.35-94-1318.719.1-0.3414.816.5-1.69
Jason Maxiell3735-0.850.35-1.20-0.47-138-2119.518.31.2215.314.90.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 95, PHI 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.46,0.45,0.58,092.4%
PHI 86, MIL 810.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.16,092.2%
CHI 95, MIL 870.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.09,091.9%