inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 110 Excitement6.8 [455] MVPChristian Braun (DEN): +24.4%
New Orleans Pelicans 115 Comeback1.0 [493] LVPNikola Jokic (DEN): -13.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Christian Braun0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.150.110.021964%0.2400.0010%-0.02
Michael Porter Jr.0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.000.021462%0.0900.0010%-0.01
Julian Strawther-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.030.04-0.060.01757%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0110%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Jalen Pickett-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Peyton Watson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.00337%-0.022-0.05250%-0.03
Aaron Gordon-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.070.01-0.050.041445%-0.0700.0030%-0.04
Reggie Jackson-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08-0.02-0.060.001258%0.014-0.0900%0.00
Nikola Jokic-0.140,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.06,-0.17,-0.13,-0.140.06-0.180.022058%0.024-0.165100%0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Naji Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.090.06-0.006100%0.192-0.0400%0.00
Dyson Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.040.01667%0.1000.00367%-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.10-0.01-0.011856%0.0900.00333%-0.02
Matt Ryan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.020.00760%0.0800.0010%-0.01
Brandon Ingram0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.050.050.040.020.011954%0.132-0.071100%0.00
Zion Williamson0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.02-0.011758%0.154-0.111145%-0.08
Jordan Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00750%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Herbert Jones0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00844%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.829.414.824.32.432.5130.3
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +55.0%
NOP +2.3%
DEN -15.1%
NOP +7.2%
NOP +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENNOPNBADENNOPNBA
this game14.314.414.5111.1112.7113.9
season15.014.4116.8114.8
opponent14.714.6111.0111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.014.114.713.414.3
NOP13.313.115.915.414.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Pickett19200.14-0.640.78-0.139-142312.614.7-2.0415.414.11.34
Peyton Watson24250.04-0.540.570.09-2-3114.414.20.1813.214.8-1.55
Zeke Nnaji1111-0.19-0.310.120.10-105-1513.014.4-1.449.515.0-5.41
Christian Braun5961-0.22-0.280.07-0.303-81113.715.1-1.4115.512.72.74
Nikola Jokic7173-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.425-101514.314.20.1515.511.73.80
Reggie Jackson7173-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.20-4-1-315.212.03.2313.416.9-3.53
Julian Strawther1920-0.33-0.17-0.150.14-1611-2713.814.4-0.6112.314.9-2.58
Aaron Gordon8083-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.361-6714.314.10.2814.613.60.98
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6972-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.464-91314.014.9-0.8415.611.44.16
Michael Porter Jr.7272-0.680.18-0.85-0.24-1510-2514.713.11.5613.316.8-3.49

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dyson Daniels72710.66-0.160.830.3112-71913.716.0-2.3514.414.00.44
Zion Williamson73710.63-0.130.760.0121-163712.718.7-6.0315.012.42.69
Herbert Jones76730.420.080.340.48-27-915.610.94.6314.114.8-0.76
Brandon Ingram77760.310.190.110.45-510-1515.610.55.1614.214.6-0.42
Jonas Valanciunas67650.190.31-0.120.42-813-2116.310.75.5314.713.51.19
Matt Ryan41390.140.36-0.22-0.108-31113.714.8-1.0714.014.5-0.51
Cody Zeller550.080.42-0.34-0.013216.214.8-8.5911.214.4-3.25
Jordan Hawkins55530.040.46-0.410.13-38-1114.913.71.2013.914.7-0.85
Naji Marshall43410.030.47-0.450.06-16-712.216.0-3.8214.014.5-0.44
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl110.010.49-0.490.0105-57.014.4-7.456.014.4-8.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.71,0.99,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 97, WAS 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.89,1,1,193.2%
NYK 117, SAC 1220.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.99,0.96,192.8%
IND 98, SAC 1020.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.94,0.95,192.8%