NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	106		Excitement	8.6 [244]		MVP	Payton Pritchard (BOS): +29.4%
Toronto Raptors	104		Comeback	3.3 [476]		LVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): -18.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Payton Pritchard	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.46,0.29	0.09	0.20	-0.00	7	86%	0.40	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11	0.10	0.00	0.00	13	74%	0.28	4	-0.17	8	87%	0.03
Jaylen Brown	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.06	0.02	23	55%	0.20	5	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Malcolm Brogdon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.03	0.01	16	64%	0.13	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Luke Kornet	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	12	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	10	25%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.1,0.27,0.27,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	-0.01	17	59%	0.21	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	15	53%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
O.G. Anunoby	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	86%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	-0.01	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.01,-0.19	-0.19	0.01	-0.20	0.00	23	60%	0.07	6	-0.25	2	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	24.2	14.8	24.4	2.6	30.5	122.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +8.9%

BOS +17.1%

BOS +24.9%

TOR -5.9%

BOS +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	13.9	14.4	108.2	106.1	113.4
season	14.5	14.7		116.3	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.6		112.2	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	17.5	14.0	15.9	15.5
TOR	14.1	12.5	14.2	14.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Payton Pritchard	47	49	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.28	19	-17	36	16.8	14.3	2.49	15.3	12.4	2.86
Blake Griffin	12	13	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.12	13	-11	24	18.3	15.1	3.22	19.0	13.1	5.91
Grant Williams	68	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	2	-2	16.4	13.5	2.85	13.5	14.6	-1.12
Jaylen Brown	88	87	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.49	-4	6	-10	15.0	20.1	-5.11	13.6	16.3	-2.70
Malcolm Brogdon	72	73	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	1	0	14.9	17.2	-2.34	13.8	14.1	-0.27
Derrick White	59	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	-3	8	15.6	15.4	0.12	13.8	13.9	-0.11
Robert Williams III	29	29	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	-5	12	16.7	15.0	1.72	15.0	13.4	1.55
Luke Kornet	21	20	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	2	-2	12.0	16.5	-4.53	13.3	14.0	-0.73
Al Horford	61	60	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.36	-14	16	-30	14.5	17.1	-2.61	12.8	15.5	-2.69
Marcus Smart	33	31	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	0.10	-17	19	-36	16.5	15.0	1.52	12.7	14.4	-1.71

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.G. Anunoby	45	45	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.02	9	-11	20	13.1	14.5	-1.42	14.4	16.5	-2.09
Precious Achiuwa	76	78	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.40	13	-15	28	13.2	16.4	-3.21	15.5	15.6	-0.11
Pascal Siakam	88	88	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.39	10	-12	22	13.3	19.2	-5.93	16.0	10.9	5.13
Juancho Hernangomez	17	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	7	-16	16.6	13.3	3.28	20.1	14.7	5.38
Gary Trent Jr.	81	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.52	7	-9	16	13.3	16.6	-3.28	14.7	20.1	-5.38
Malachi Flynn	12	11	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	9	-20	17.2	13.4	3.84	11.5	16.0	-4.47
Scottie Barnes	85	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-3	4	14.1	12.4	1.72	15.8	13.3	2.54
Chris Boucher	36	36	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.05	-18	16	-34	15.5	12.9	2.56	17.0	14.7	2.31
Thaddeus Young	50	49	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.40	-12	10	-22	14.4	13.4	0.98	14.9	16.1	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.52,0.29,0.42,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.21,0.57,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.07,0	90.0%
UTA 101, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.26,0	89.7%
NOH 93, PHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.43,0.27,0	89.6%