NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	93		Excitement	8.6 [165]		MVP	George Lynch (NOH): +46.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	3.5 [137]		LVP	Baron Davis (NOH): -32.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.46,0.46	0.13	0.34	0.00	9	89%	0.51	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jerome Moiso	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Robert Pack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	9	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	11	52%	-0.03	1	-0.04	11	64%	-0.04
Robert Traylor	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.18,-0.26	-0.06	-0.20	-0.01	20	46%	-0.20	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.09
Baron Davis	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.33	-0.20	-0.14	-0.01	17	24%	-0.26	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	7	56%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	8	52%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.14	-0.00	15	55%	0.03	1	-0.15	8	87%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.3,-0.36,-0.33,-0.33,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	25	51%	0.15	6	-0.33	9	78%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.7	34.2	18.7	26.2	3.6	36.1	149.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -14.6%

PHI -6.1%

NOH +19.5%

NOH +43.9%

NOH +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHI	NBA	NOH	PHI	NBA
this game	16.8	15.8	15.5	104.5	103.4	101.6
season	15.9	15.3		101.6	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.8	18.8	16.3	16.6	16.8
PHI	13.6	16.4	16.5	16.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	42	42	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.51	5	-3	8	17.6	16.0	1.64	16.6	15.0	1.69
Baron Davis	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.41	2	0	2	16.9	16.1	0.84	16.3	12.7	3.62
Jerome Moiso	26	25	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-6	14	17.0	16.7	0.32	18.0	14.9	3.18
Robert Traylor	16	17	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	-5	12	17.3	16.7	0.65	19.3	14.9	4.38
Jamal Mashburn	75	74	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.42	-6	8	-14	16.7	17.0	-0.27	14.9	20.4	-5.55
David Wesley	48	46	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	1	0	15.5	18.2	-2.72	15.6	16.0	-0.41
Courtney Alexander	16	16	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	-1	4	15.6	17.0	-1.40	16.7	15.5	1.21
Jamaal Magloire	70	69	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	6	-10	17.3	14.8	2.46	15.2	17.8	-2.59
P.J. Brown	63	63	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	8	-14	16.7	17.0	-0.32	14.9	18.0	-3.18
Robert Pack	14	14	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	2	-2	16.1	16.9	-0.84	12.7	16.3	-3.62

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	24	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-5	8	16.4	15.5	0.84	18.5	16.2	2.30
Brian Skinner	5	5	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	6	-14	21.0	15.4	5.55	14.2	16.9	-2.73
Eric Snow	68	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-7	12	15.2	17.5	-2.31	16.9	16.5	0.33
Monty Williams	18	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	2	-6	17.7	15.3	2.40	16.2	16.9	-0.74
Derrick Coleman	57	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.28	3	-5	8	15.4	16.5	-1.12	16.2	17.9	-1.66
Keith Van Horn	77	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-5	8	15.1	20.6	-5.57	16.6	17.8	-1.15
Kenny Thomas	67	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	1	-4	16.6	13.2	3.31	17.9	13.2	4.71
Allen Iverson	81	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	15.5	18.9	-3.36	16.8	17.0	-0.24
Aaron McKie	43	43	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	5	-12	15.9	15.6	0.24	15.5	18.0	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 99, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.04,0	92.2%
IND 106, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.43,0.09,0	91.8%
DEN 78, MIN 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.27,0	91.7%