NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	8.5 [157]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +60.0%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	3.4 [691]		LVP	Muggsy Bogues (GSW): -23.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.60	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.6	0.17	0.42	-0.01	29	69%	0.66	3	-0.06	23	83%	0.05
John Stockton	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.01	5	81%	0.15	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.04
Bryon Russell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Greg Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	53%	0.08	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.02
Adam Keefe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.05,0.35	0.35	0.10	0.25	-0.00	19	65%	0.40	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.05
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.11	0.00	4	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.11
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	16	51%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.03
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Madkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.05
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.23	-0.23	-0.03	-0.19	0.01	8	58%	0.06	3	-0.29	3	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.0	25.3	14.7	31.3	2.6	34.2	134.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.8%

UTA +16.4%

GSW -5.2%

UTA +19.2%

UTA +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.6	114.8	113.8	102.5
season	15.9	15.6		108.1	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.9		102.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.1	17.7	15.7	14.7	16.5
GSW	15.3	15.8	15.7	18.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	57	56	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-13	28	17.0	15.6	1.34	16.7	15.9	0.83
Karl Malone	78	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	1	0	16.6	15.8	0.80	16.6	14.8	1.81
Bryon Russell	44	44	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.45	-3	5	-8	15.8	17.2	-1.43	17.2	15.5	1.72
Jeff Hornacek	62	61	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.27	1	1	0	16.6	16.2	0.45	15.4	18.8	-3.38
John Stockton	59	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	4	-6	17.2	15.1	2.10	15.7	17.8	-2.04
Shandon Anderson	28	29	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	-2	6	16.4	16.5	-0.12	19.0	15.1	3.84
Howard Eisley	29	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	-2	6	15.1	17.2	-2.10	17.8	15.7	2.04
Adam Keefe	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	6	-10	17.1	16.2	0.92	14.3	17.6	-3.28
Chris Morris	12	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	6	-10	16.6	16.5	0.08	15.5	16.5	-1.05
Greg Ostertag	16	16	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	10	-18	16.0	16.6	-0.63	17.0	16.3	0.73

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	53	53	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.04	1	-3	4	16.2	16.6	-0.40	16.7	16.2	0.47
Duane Ferrell	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-1	0	16.7	16.3	0.35	15.6	16.7	-1.08
Felton Spencer	38	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	3	-8	17.7	15.4	2.23	17.1	16.0	1.11
Clar. Weatherspoon	49	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-7	12	15.7	17.4	-1.72	17.9	14.7	3.26
Todd Fuller	20	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	1	-4	16.6	16.3	0.32	14.6	17.0	-2.46
Erick Dampier	62	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-7	12	16.0	17.3	-1.29	15.7	18.9	-3.25
Jason Caffey	29	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	1	-4	16.4	16.4	-0.03	18.4	15.6	2.76
Jim Jackson	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-2	2	16.3	16.7	-0.35	16.5	16.6	-0.10
Muggsy Bogues	63	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-1	0	17.0	14.8	2.22	17.0	15.3	1.62
Gerald Madkins	34	35	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	6	-14	15.7	16.8	-1.09	14.3	18.0	-3.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 97, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.27,0	93.4%
SAS 97, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.28,0.22,0.16,0	93.0%
SAC 103, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.45,0.45,0.16,0	92.2%