NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	114		Excitement	8.5 [259]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +34.2%
New York Knicks	117		Comeback	1.6 [916]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -23.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.09	0.14	-0.00	7	83%	0.28	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Zach Collins	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.05	0.01	6	100%	0.20	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Keldon Johnson	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	16	59%	0.20	3	-0.06	12	83%	0.04
Josh Richardson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	14	71%	0.16	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Romeo Langford	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Sochan	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.10	-0.03	15	44%	0.02	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.03
Malaki Branham	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.00	27	67%	0.52	4	-0.17	3	33%	-0.04
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.15	-0.00	8	78%	0.26	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	26	40%	-0.08	5	-0.15	11	55%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.6	28.3	15.3	26.7	1.0	38.0	139.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +29.0%

SAS -24.3%

NYK +30.5%

NYK +10.5%

NYK +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NYK	NBA	SAS	NYK	NBA
this game	12.7	15.5	14.4	111.8	114.7	113.4
season	14.0	15.1		109.2	115.6
opponent	14.4	14.1		112.9	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.9	11.7	13.0	12.2	12.7
NYK	12.3	15.0	17.7	17.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	47	47	0.40	-0.90	1.30	-0.04	15	-18	33	13.2	12.3	0.86	16.8	14.5	2.29
Jakob Poeltl	58	59	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-7	11	12.7	12.7	0.08	14.8	16.5	-1.66
Romeo Langford	27	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	2	-7	13.5	12.4	1.11	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Stanley Johnson	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	0	-3	12.7	12.7	-0.06	14.8	15.8	-1.03
Zach Collins	42	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	0	-3	12.8	12.6	0.18	16.9	14.7	2.21
Jeremy Sochan	65	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	2	-7	12.7	12.7	0.05	15.4	15.8	-0.43
Malaki Branham	47	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	9	-21	12.2	13.1	-0.95	16.4	14.8	1.60
Keldon Johnson	75	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	0	-3	12.4	13.4	-1.00	15.2	16.5	-1.31
Tre Jones	58	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-5	7	12.7	12.8	-0.12	14.7	16.6	-1.95
Josh Richardson	61	61	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.62	-5	2	-7	12.7	12.8	-0.12	15.5	15.6	-0.18

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	86	86	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-11	25	15.3	16.7	-1.37	12.5	13.8	-1.31
Quentin Grimes	79	80	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-6	15	15.1	16.9	-1.79	12.7	12.5	0.20
Julius Randle	89	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-6	15	15.2	18.1	-2.92	12.6	13.1	-0.51
Immanuel Quickley	96	96	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	1	1	15.8	11.0	4.81	12.6	13.7	-1.02
Jericho Sims	46	46	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.45	-4	7	-11	16.5	14.7	1.85	12.0	13.3	-1.29
Isaiah Hartenstein	41	42	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	2	-1	15.4	15.6	-0.27	13.2	12.3	0.90
Evan Fournier	24	23	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	8	-13	16.3	15.3	1.00	12.1	12.9	-0.74
Mitchell Robinson	27	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	4	-5	15.8	15.4	0.34	13.7	12.4	1.31
Miles McBride	22	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	13	-23	15.1	15.6	-0.50	13.8	12.4	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.92,1	91.9%
DAL 83, SAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.85,1	91.4%
SAC 95, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.46,0.55,0.91,1	91.4%