NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	95		Excitement	7.6 [331]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +16.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	1.8 [505]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -18.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	10	65%	0.16	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Omri Casspi	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	7	69%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Seth Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04	-0.09	0.03	-0.02	25	45%	0.13	5	-0.17	3	67%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.12,-0.15	-0.00	-0.10	0.04	8	55%	-0.02	2	-0.13	4	75%	0.03
Rudy Gay	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.02,-0.19,-0.19	0.06	-0.23	0.02	18	53%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.02	20	64%	0.41	4	-0.25	10	90%	0.08
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	13	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.10	0.02	10	50%	0.11	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.08
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	11	36%	-0.00	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.00	-0.12	0.02	11	62%	-0.01	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	28.4	15.6	26.0	1.8	41.0	137.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +18.7%

MIN +26.1%

MIN +21.5%

SAC -20.3%

MIN +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	16.4	14.9	102.2	104.2	105.1
season	13.9	14.8		104.8	104.8
opponent	15.0	14.6		108.4	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	14.1	14.8	13.9	14.2
MIN	15.4	16.5	16.5	17.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	39	41	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.15	10	-14	24	14.9	13.7	1.21	17.8	15.4	2.39
Seth Curry	13	12	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.07	6	-10	16	16.2	13.9	2.28	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-8	12	14.5	14.0	0.48	17.3	15.9	1.32
Darren Collison	50	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.50	9	-13	22	14.1	14.3	-0.20	17.7	15.0	2.70
Ben McLemore	41	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.17	-14	10	-24	14.6	13.9	0.66	15.1	17.5	-2.39
DeMarcus Cousins	72	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-1	-2	13.7	16.0	-2.39	16.1	17.4	-1.30
Omri Casspi	71	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	4	-12	14.4	13.5	0.97	16.1	17.5	-1.39
Rajon Rondo	72	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	9	-22	13.8	15.6	-1.78	16.1	17.4	-1.34
Rudy Gay	73	75	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.35	-11	7	-18	13.9	15.3	-1.41	16.1	17.6	-1.49

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	48	45	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-8	20	16.0	16.8	-0.77	14.4	14.0	0.40
Andrew Wiggins	73	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-6	16	16.2	17.2	-1.05	13.8	15.5	-1.73
Ricky Rubio	63	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	-2	8	16.5	16.3	0.12	13.8	15.0	-1.12
Kevin Garnett	42	43	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	-4	12	15.4	17.2	-1.82	14.1	14.2	-0.10
Shabazz Muhammad	51	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	7	-10	18.1	14.5	3.58	14.8	13.6	1.19
Tayshaun Prince	45	45	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	-8	20	14.4	18.3	-3.92	13.8	14.6	-0.76
Zach LaVine	34	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.32	-5	9	-14	16.4	16.5	-0.11	14.1	14.2	-0.13
Adreian Payne	15	13	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	2	0	16.7	16.4	0.37	15.2	14.0	1.21
Andre Miller	10	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	6	-8	17.1	16.3	0.76	15.7	14.0	1.63
Nemanja Bjelica	7	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	8	-12	17.6	16.3	1.24	14.1	14.2	-0.08
Kevin Martin	31	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.19	-10	14	-24	17.5	15.9	1.63	14.1	14.2	-0.07
Gorgui Dieng	56	54	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	10	-16	17.0	15.6	1.45	14.4	13.9	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.46,0.55,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.92,1	92.2%
MIL 84, NOP 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.57,0.84,1	91.8%
DAL 100, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.95,1	91.3%