NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	84		Excitement	8.1 [232]		MVP	Quincy Pondexter (NOP): +19.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	85		Comeback	1.4 [842]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -39.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	9	71%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.08,0.12	-0.01	0.12	-0.02	11	50%	0.21	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.11
John Henson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	10	58%	0.08	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.08
Zaza Pachulia	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.02	9	46%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Chris Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	6	42%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	12	23%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,-0.19	0.04	-0.21	0.02	15	50%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39	-0.23	-0.20	-0.04	14	14%	-0.31	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.04	-0.04	13	67%	0.23	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	0.00	8	76%	0.23	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	6	47%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.12,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.09	0.01	9	45%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	18	44%	0.12	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.03
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.06	-0.05	18	32%	-0.10	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.7	28.0	14.6	25.2	2.4	33.9	130.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +69.8%

MIL -6.4%

MIL -1.2%

MIL -13.5%

NOP +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NOP	NBA	MIL	NOP	NBA
this game	14.8	15.6	15.1	89.4	89.5	104.2
season	14.5	15.8		100.5	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.7		106.1	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.7	14.5	15.0	14.1	14.8
NOP	13.7	17.6	15.0	16.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	46	46	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.21	10	-11	21	14.7	15.0	-0.37	15.5	15.7	-0.21
Chris Johnson	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	1	-3	15.8	14.8	1.06	14.2	15.7	-1.56
Tyler Ennis	43	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-7	13	16.2	13.7	2.52	15.3	15.9	-0.57
Khris Middleton	69	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-5	9	14.3	16.2	-1.85	16.1	14.5	1.61
Jerryd Bayless	66	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.56	10	-11	21	14.5	15.7	-1.30	15.8	15.1	0.68
Michael Carter-Williams	49	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	9	-19	15.7	13.9	1.74	16.2	15.1	1.15
Ersan Ilyasova	70	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	5	-11	14.8	14.9	-0.10	15.1	17.2	-2.11
Giannis Antetokounmpo	73	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	5	-11	14.2	17.0	-2.72	15.5	16.1	-0.66
Zaza Pachulia	48	49	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	10	-21	15.0	14.7	0.37	15.7	15.5	0.21

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	74	72	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.37	15	-14	29	15.2	17.1	-1.94	14.6	15.6	-1.04
Quincy Pondexter	76	74	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.37	9	-8	17	16.1	13.6	2.57	14.0	17.9	-3.95
Anthony Davis	84	82	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.46	5	-4	9	15.5	16.9	-1.44	14.7	15.5	-0.76
Omer Asik	59	58	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-6	13	15.8	15.4	0.35	14.3	15.7	-1.47
Dante Cunningham	27	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.43	-10	11	-21	14.1	16.2	-2.18	15.7	14.5	1.18
Eric Gordon	66	68	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	-5	11	16.2	14.3	1.90	14.7	15.3	-0.59
Alexis Ajinca	33	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	7	-13	15.5	15.7	-0.18	15.9	14.3	1.59
Norris Cole	40	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	11	-21	15.3	15.9	-0.62	16.0	13.9	2.11
Elliot Williams	16	16	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.11	-11	12	-23	16.9	15.4	1.57	16.5	14.5	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 95, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.46,0.55,0.91,1	91.8%
GSW 87, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.62,0.78,0.86,0.87,1	90.8%
PHX 82, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.97,1	90.5%