NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	117		Excitement	9.0 [176]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +44.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	119		Comeback	5.5 [354]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (LAL): -20.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.3	0.09	0.23	0.01	17	62%	0.42	3	-0.12	13	85%	0.11
Daniel Gafford	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.13	0.00	6	100%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	5	64%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Corey Kispert	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.00	5	55%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	18	49%	0.11	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02
Deni Avdija	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.01	18	58%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Monte Morris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.44	0.44	0.16	0.27	-0.01	24	59%	0.44	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.4	0.40	0.04	0.36	-0.00	13	59%	0.46	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.07	-0.00	12	72%	0.24	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.13	0.02	5	100%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.02	-0.03	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	12	46%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.08	-0.00	12	32%	-0.11	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	25.1	14.5	29.4	2.3	33.5	129.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +77.1%

WAS -23.1%

WAS -9.7%

LAL +3.4%

LAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAL	NBA	WAS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	13.7	14.4	113.6	115.5	113.4
season	14.8	14.1		113.4	113.1
opponent	14.2	14.2		112.1	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	16.9	11.8	13.6	14.2
LAL	13.2	13.1	13.4	15.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gafford	44	44	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.17	11	-13	24	13.2	15.0	-1.80	15.0	12.7	2.30
Will Barton	43	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	0	-2	14.3	14.1	0.20	13.7	13.7	0.02
Taj Gibson	7	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	5	-12	20.4	13.8	6.65	14.7	13.7	1.06
Jordan Goodwin	40	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.47	10	-12	22	14.3	14.2	0.15	13.9	13.6	0.36
Corey Kispert	37	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	12	-26	15.4	13.6	1.83	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Monte Morris	63	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	10	-22	14.2	14.3	-0.15	13.6	13.9	-0.36
Kristaps Porzingis	81	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.49	5	-7	12	14.2	14.5	-0.34	13.5	14.6	-1.15
Deni Avdija	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.42	2	-4	6	13.7	14.7	-1.02	13.0	14.4	-1.36
Bradley Beal	67	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.50	1	-3	4	14.1	14.6	-0.50	13.6	13.9	-0.24
Kyle Kuzma	85	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	2	-6	14.2	14.4	-0.19	13.9	12.9	0.94

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Reaves	71	72	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.60	15	-13	28	13.2	14.8	-1.62	14.7	13.0	1.72
LeBron James	77	79	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-8	18	14.0	12.9	1.08	14.7	12.6	2.15
Thomas Bryant	72	72	0.56	-0.05	0.61	0.56	0	2	-2	13.3	14.6	-1.27	14.1	14.5	-0.36
Dennis Schroder	60	61	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	-5	12	14.6	12.5	2.17	14.7	13.5	1.20
Max Christie	50	49	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.31	-2	4	-6	14.7	12.8	1.93	14.1	14.4	-0.25
Lonnie Walker IV	78	77	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.26	-6	8	-14	13.0	16.1	-3.11	13.4	16.8	-3.44
Damian Jones	35	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.12	3	-1	4	13.8	13.7	0.11	14.9	13.9	1.06
Russell Westbrook	50	50	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.03	-5	7	-12	12.8	14.6	-1.84	14.3	14.2	0.17
Troy Brown Jr.	22	21	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	14	-26	15.6	13.2	2.43	11.7	14.9	-3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.69,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.18,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.41,0.39,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.77,1	90.2%
MIA 90, CHH 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.64,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	90.2%
SAC 97, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.59,0.83,0.89,0.64,0.77,0.84,1	90.1%