NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Excitement	8.6 [159]		MVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): +28.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	1.4 [926]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -39.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.28	0.11	0.18	0.00	16	63%	0.30	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Ryan Hollins	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	3	100%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Oleksiy Pecherov	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	8	81%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Jawai	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.10	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	8	65%	0.08	5	-0.18	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	14	29%	-0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.31,-0.39	-0.14	-0.26	-0.01	21	30%	-0.33	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.00	15	68%	0.23	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	12	63%	0.11	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	15	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.06
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.04	-0.01	10	45%	0.09	5	-0.12	9	89%	0.03
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	7	56%	0.03	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	32.4	16.4	24.3	2.7	32.4	138.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +11.0%

LAC +28.5%

LAC +17.0%

MIN -14.4%

LAC +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	15.8	15.3	97.8	100.0	106.0
season	14.7	15.5		100.1	101.9
opponent	15.2	14.8		108.5	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.0	15.0	15.4	14.9	15.3
LAC	14.0	14.4	18.1	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	15	16	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.06	9	-12	21	17.9	14.8	3.12	18.1	15.3	2.80
Oleksiy Pecherov	36	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-4	5	15.9	14.9	0.97	16.2	15.6	0.64
Brian Cardinal	24	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	0	-3	16.7	14.8	1.93	16.5	15.6	0.85
Nathan Jawai	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	0	-3	14.9	15.4	-0.48	15.0	15.9	-0.90
Sasha Pavlovic	20	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	2	-7	13.5	15.8	-2.33	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Wayne Ellington	20	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	1	-5	14.6	15.5	-0.86	16.2	15.7	0.50
Jonny Flynn	44	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	3	-9	16.5	14.3	2.21	14.0	17.5	-3.51
Ramon Sessions	48	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.41	3	-6	9	14.3	16.5	-2.21	17.5	14.0	3.51
Corey Brewer	72	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-4	5	15.5	14.6	0.86	15.7	16.2	-0.50
Al Jefferson	68	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-3	3	14.8	16.8	-1.98	15.3	17.1	-1.78
Ryan Hollins	34	34	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	0	-3	15.8	15.1	0.70	16.7	15.3	1.46
Ryan Gomes	69	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	2	-7	14.8	16.8	-1.94	15.2	17.8	-2.58

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	71	70	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-4	11	16.3	14.3	2.01	15.0	16.5	-1.48
Chris Kaman	76	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-2	7	15.4	17.5	-2.04	15.9	13.2	2.68
Eric Gordon	74	72	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.46	2	1	1	15.0	18.9	-3.88	15.7	13.8	1.89
Baron Davis	67	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	15.3	17.2	-1.98	15.9	13.9	2.01
Marcus Camby	63	64	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.31	1	2	-1	16.2	14.9	1.34	15.9	14.0	1.91
Craig Smith	34	33	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	2	-1	16.2	15.6	0.58	14.1	16.0	-1.97
DeAndre Jordan	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	4	-5	14.9	15.9	-1.03	12.7	15.8	-3.07
Sebastian Telfair	26	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.02	-1	4	-5	17.2	15.3	1.98	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Al Thornton	41	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	6	-9	16.4	15.3	1.09	15.2	15.4	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, BKN 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.72,1	92.5%
BOS 96, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	92.4%
LAC 92, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.3,0.4,0.53,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.74,1	92.3%