NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	8.6 [189]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN): +72.4%
Brooklyn Nets	98		Comeback	2.3 [318]		LVP	DeMarre Carroll (BKN): -16.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	17	58%	0.20	2	-0.07	18	89%	0.20
Andrew Wiggins	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	17	50%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	16	48%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	9	52%	0.27	4	-0.26	3	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.46,0.72	0.72	0.16	0.56	-0.01	14	81%	0.84	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.15	0.00	7	106%	0.36	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	6	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.01	9	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	8	56%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.22,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	11	37%	0.01	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	24.4	15.4	28.7	1.8	36.4	133.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +131.8%

MIN -53.6%

MIN -13.6%

MIN -24.7%

BKN +10.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BKN	NBA	MIN	BKN	NBA
this game	14.6	16.0	14.7	103.2	104.3	107.5
season	15.3	14.7		111.8	105.8
opponent	14.1	14.4		109.4	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	14.4	14.3	15.1	14.6
BKN	14.8	15.6	16.2	17.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	33	34	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.07	-1	0	-1	14.5	14.7	-0.19	16.6	15.7	0.87
Tyus Jones	72	72	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.24	9	-10	19	14.2	15.9	-1.64	16.2	15.4	0.87
Nemanja Bjelica	26	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	4	-9	14.5	14.6	-0.15	15.3	16.3	-1.02
Aaron Brooks	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	3	-7	13.5	14.7	-1.24	14.2	16.2	-2.05
Taj Gibson	66	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-2	3	14.6	14.7	-0.15	15.9	16.2	-0.31
Marcus Georges-Hunt	2	3	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	1	-3	7.5	14.8	-7.26	14.7	16.1	-1.41
Andrew Wiggins	71	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-4	7	14.3	15.6	-1.27	16.0	16.0	-0.02
Jimmy Butler	74	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.54	2	-3	5	15.0	13.2	1.72	16.4	14.4	2.02
Jamal Crawford	37	35	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.37	-5	4	-9	15.5	14.0	1.54	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Karl-Anthony Towns	79	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.48	-3	2	-5	14.9	13.1	1.83	15.9	16.5	-0.56

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	53	54	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.47	10	-9	19	15.7	16.5	-0.85	14.9	14.2	0.71
DeMarre Carroll	60	60	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.49	3	-2	5	16.3	15.5	0.79	15.0	13.8	1.23
Spencer Dinwiddie	72	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	0	1	16.2	15.6	0.58	14.5	14.9	-0.36
Allen Crabbe	59	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	1	-1	15.5	16.9	-1.31	14.7	14.5	0.21
Joe Harris	54	53	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	-3	7	15.8	16.3	-0.55	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Jarrett Allen	31	32	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.31	-5	6	-11	16.7	15.7	1.06	13.8	15.0	-1.25
Tyler Zeller	26	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-2	5	14.8	16.5	-1.69	15.8	14.1	1.71
Quincy Acy	55	54	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	6	-11	16.5	15.4	1.11	13.9	15.5	-1.56
Jahlil Okafor	21	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	2	-3	16.8	15.8	0.94	15.7	14.3	1.43
Nik Stauskas	39	38	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	6	-11	16.1	16.0	0.16	13.9	15.1	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.77,1	92.5%
PHX 87, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.46,0.76,0.72,1	91.7%
OKC 99, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.55,0.72,0.84,0.73,1	91.6%