NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	131		Excitement	11.8 [24]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +53.0%
New York Knicks	134		Comeback	13.6 [204]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (CHA): -39.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen McDaniels	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2	0.12	0.09	0.00	10	77%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Theo Maledon	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.03	0.00	7	100%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
P.J. Washington	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.01	14	53%	0.17	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.11	0.02	3	67%	0.16	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
James Bouknight	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Richards	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	87%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	-0.04	0.09	-0.01	16	41%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
JT Thor	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19	-0.03	-0.10	0.06	18	44%	-0.13	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.2,-0.34,-0.34,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.06	-0.34	-0.01	18	50%	-0.22	5	-0.17	6	67%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.53	0.53	0.14	0.38	-0.00	15	77%	0.58	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.07
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	7	80%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	4	90%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	11	64%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.09	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	3	62%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.3,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	19	40%	-0.02	1	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01
RJ Barrett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.3,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.18	-0.01	21	48%	-0.07	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	1.5	31.2	14.8	28.3	2.5	37.4	2.5	21.4	165.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.5%

NYK +18.6%

NYK +5.6%

CHA -17.1%

NYK +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	14.2	13.8	14.4	117.0	116.5	113.4
season	14.0	15.1		107.8	115.6
opponent	14.4	14.3		112.9	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	13.8	13.5	15.0	14.1	15.2	14.2
NYK	12.4	12.7	13.8	16.5	14.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	40	43	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.18	12	-15	27	14.8	13.8	0.97	13.1	14.3	-1.24
Jalen McDaniels	47	50	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.24	14	-17	31	15.2	13.4	1.78	13.2	14.4	-1.17
James Bouknight	37	39	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.13	9	-12	21	14.8	13.9	0.98	12.7	14.4	-1.78
Bryce McGowens	2	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-1	-1	9.5	14.3	-4.76	13.0	13.9	-0.85
Theo Maledon	37	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.13	2	-5	7	13.6	14.5	-0.91	12.5	14.5	-2.01
JT Thor	21	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	3	-9	12.3	14.6	-2.27	14.4	13.7	0.66
P.J. Washington	82	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-2	1	13.9	15.0	-1.08	13.4	15.0	-1.66
Dennis Smith Jr.	75	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	2	-7	14.5	13.6	0.91	14.5	12.5	2.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	73	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	7	-17	14.0	14.6	-0.59	14.5	12.7	1.79
Mason Plumlee	64	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	12	-27	14.6	13.6	0.93	14.6	12.9	1.66
Gordon Hayward	82	85	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	10	-23	13.7	15.4	-1.67	14.4	12.3	2.13

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
RJ Barrett	83	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-5	13	14.4	12.5	1.86	13.7	15.4	-1.67
Jalen Brunson	87	84	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	-4	11	14.6	11.4	3.24	13.8	15.3	-1.52
Julius Randle	86	84	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.36	6	-3	9	14.3	12.4	1.87	13.8	15.4	-1.57
Mitchell Robinson	79	78	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	-5	13	14.5	12.4	2.12	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Cam Reddish	50	50	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	2	-1	14.2	13.6	0.60	15.3	13.3	1.95
Immanuel Quickley	45	42	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	8	-13	12.5	14.7	-2.15	13.9	14.3	-0.44
Evan Fournier	52	51	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	-1	5	13.8	13.9	-0.03	13.8	14.5	-0.62
Obi Toppin	29	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	6	-9	12.4	14.3	-1.87	15.4	13.8	1.57
Derrick Rose	28	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	7	-11	11.4	14.6	-3.24	15.3	13.8	1.52
Isaiah Hartenstein	36	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	10	-17	12.4	14.5	-2.12	15.2	13.7	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.65,0.54,0.62,0.45,0.15,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.85,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 92, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.97,1	90.3%
GSW 81, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.47,0.58,1	89.0%
HOU 99, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	88.8%