inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 99 Excitement9.8 [85] MVPTrenton Hassell (MIN): +23.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves 103 Comeback2.8 [463] LVPRafer Alston (HOU): -31.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.160.010.011274%0.1700.00367%-0.01
Juwan Howard0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.070.011456%0.1300.00683%0.01
John Lucas III0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.030.08-0.00570%0.151-0.0400%0.00
Tracy McGrady0.060,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.06-0.070.150.022946%0.235-0.171050%-0.06
Charles Hayes0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.001100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Luther Head-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.08,-0.12,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14-0.09-0.06-0.011035%-0.043-0.1000%0.00
Steve Novak-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17-0.03-0.140.0020%-0.1700.0000%0.00
Rafer Alston-0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31-0.15-0.150.021726%-0.252-0.0700%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trenton Hassell0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.060.200.021058%0.2300.004100%0.01
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.060.12-0.021267%0.242-0.0400%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.120.120.070.060.011260%0.252-0.121173%-0.05
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Justin Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.012450%0.043-0.084100%0.09
Marko Jaric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.030.00433%-0.0500.004100%0.02
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.060.00160%0.023-0.12875%-0.02
Craig Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.05-0.00333%-0.012-0.0900%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.060.011239%-0.091-0.03786%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.52.431.415.823.32.430.22.414.6150.0
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.01.917.4141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +4.8%
MIN +29.0%
MIN +30.5%
HOU -8.4%
HOU -5.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUMINNBAHOUMINNBA
this game16.315.415.498.0104.0104.5
season15.615.4103.6101.9
opponent15.615.7105.899.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
HOU17.516.516.515.215.416.3
MIN13.716.215.516.714.615.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Novak23230.47-0.971.440.1212-162814.017.0-3.0417.214.92.25
John Lucas III42410.33-0.831.16-0.1115-193415.017.3-2.3517.014.42.61
Charles Hayes24260.00-0.500.51-0.031-5615.516.6-1.0615.715.40.28
Luther Head5556-0.09-0.410.31-0.245-91415.417.5-2.1216.114.61.44
Dikembe Mutombo7267-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.06-95-1417.214.32.8115.415.6-0.27
Tracy McGrady7674-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.24-73-1016.316.4-0.1215.615.10.43
Juwan Howard7270-0.570.07-0.63-0.39-62-816.815.11.7415.215.9-0.69
Rafer Alston5958-0.830.33-1.16-0.27-1915-3417.315.02.3514.417.0-2.61
Shane Battier8280-1.050.55-1.59-0.69-128-2016.814.52.2414.619.1-4.47

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ricky Davis81840.97-0.471.450.6212-82014.619.1-4.4816.913.83.03
Mike James64670.86-0.361.230.4813-92215.216.0-0.8216.915.21.68
Mark Blount75770.80-0.301.110.5110-61615.515.30.2016.515.80.67
Kevin Garnett84850.56-0.060.610.328-41215.614.31.3116.415.90.56
Trenton Hassell75770.55-0.050.610.2610-61615.714.61.1416.316.5-0.26
Mark Madsen660.140.36-0.22-0.046-2812.715.6-2.9620.016.13.88
Justin Reed1111-0.160.66-0.820.05-711-1817.315.22.0615.216.5-1.31
Craig Smith2223-0.340.84-1.18-0.08-913-2214.415.8-1.3915.116.7-1.63
Randy Foye3534-0.360.86-1.23-0.10-913-2216.015.20.8215.216.9-1.68
Marko Jaric4241-0.531.03-1.55-0.12-1418-3216.514.61.8715.417.0-1.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 94, WAS 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.69,0.54,0.86,0.96,189.5%
TOR 111, WAS 1190.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.63,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.32,0.36,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.73,189.5%
CLE 103, HOU 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.53,0.76,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.83,0.95,188.9%