NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	111		Excitement	10.3 [65]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +41.9%
Washington Wizards	119		Comeback	2.4 [716]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -21.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.38	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.16	0.24	0.02	12	75%	0.38	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.12	-0.00	6	100%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Mike James	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.09	0.03	-0.10	0.01	15	56%	0.03	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.01,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	18	52%	0.11	5	-0.22	16	81%	0.05
Joey Graham	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.01	-0.13	0.00	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.42	0.42	0.12	0.33	0.03	24	63%	0.54	4	-0.12	11	64%	-0.05
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.11	0.03	15	64%	0.22	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	67%	0.11	1	-0.06	7	57%	-0.04
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.22,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	0.01	26	43%	-0.14	3	-0.07	8	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	30.5	16.0	29.2	1.8	34.1	1.6	13.0	155.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +10.0%

TOR -11.9%

WAS +13.6%

WAS +46.5%

TOR -8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	15.6	106.7	112.3	104.4
season	15.6	15.1		107.3	107.4
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.5	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	14.8	16.5	17.9	15.8	13.9	16.0
WAS	13.5	14.2	12.1	16.9	16.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	36	37	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-17	26	16.5	15.7	0.79	15.8	13.5	2.29
Mike James	60	63	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.29	-9	1	-10	16.1	15.9	0.21	13.0	16.1	-3.11
Darrick Martin	5	4	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-9	10	17.6	15.9	1.67	20.2	14.1	6.19
Joey Graham	60	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-14	20	15.7	16.4	-0.69	15.4	13.0	2.40
Matt Bonner	46	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.32	7	-15	22	16.3	15.8	0.53	16.4	12.7	3.66
Rafael Araujo	24	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.17	-16	8	-24	17.9	15.4	2.48	12.6	14.8	-2.27
Charlie Villanueva	55	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.55	5	-13	18	15.7	16.3	-0.60	14.6	14.0	0.54
Jose Calderon	82	85	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.19	-14	6	-20	15.8	16.6	-0.79	13.9	16.0	-2.07
Chris Bosh	86	91	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	6	-20	15.8	17.2	-1.40	13.9	16.6	-2.69
Morris Peterson	66	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.20	-15	7	-22	15.7	16.6	-0.98	13.4	15.8	-2.34

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	85	83	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.38	18	-10	28	14.2	14.7	-0.53	16.2	15.2	1.03
Antawn Jamison	96	94	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-7	22	14.0	17.0	-2.99	15.9	17.0	-1.10
Gilbert Arenas	100	98	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-4	16	14.0	19.3	-5.34	15.8	18.8	-3.00
Jarvis Hayes	78	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-2	12	13.9	15.2	-1.30	16.0	16.1	-0.13
Antonio Daniels	59	60	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.28	-3	11	-14	15.6	12.6	3.05	15.4	16.8	-1.44
Brendan Haywood	44	43	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	1	6	13.4	14.9	-1.51	17.2	15.2	2.05
Caron Butler	28	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	12	-16	13.3	14.7	-1.37	15.5	16.2	-0.66
Calvin Booth	15	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	11	-14	13.3	14.5	-1.19	15.5	16.1	-0.56
Andray Blatche	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	13	-18	17.5	14.0	3.47	18.4	15.8	2.56
Etan Thomas	17	18	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.12	-7	15	-22	18.4	13.5	4.91	15.9	16.0	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.63,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.32,0.36,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, VAN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.77,0.98,1	90.6%
HOU 99, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	89.5%
WAS 101, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.28,0.46,0.69,0.55,0.68,0.77,1	89.0%