NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	9.6 [66]		MVP	Lee Mayberry (VAN): +10.1%
Vancouver Grizzlies	105		Comeback	3.1 [160]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -50.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.07	-0.00	6	33%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	6	69%	0.07	5	-0.18	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	18	63%	0.11	7	-0.23	5	80%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	17	58%	0.01	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5	-0.15	-0.36	-0.01	12	37%	-0.09	5	-0.41	3	100%	0.02

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	5	85%	0.17	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.12	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.04
Antonio Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.03	16	61%	0.09	3	-0.09	12	92%	0.13
Tony Massenburg	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.04	-0.03	20	45%	0.04	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.00
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	9	26%	-0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.3,-0.36,-0.36,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24	-0.24	0.02	-0.24	0.02	30	52%	-0.10	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.7	2.6	23.2	17.7	25.2	2.4	34.2	1.6	16.3	145.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -30.7%

VAN +31.8%

POR -6.0%

VAN +52.2%

VAN +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	VAN	NBA	POR	VAN	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.6	96.0	106.1	102.5
season	15.9	15.1		101.9	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.4		109.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	15.6	15.2	16.8	15.4	14.6	15.7
VAN	15.7	14.8	15.1	20.6	15.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	34	33	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.14	6	-15	21	14.2	16.4	-2.25	18.0	15.5	2.50
Walt Williams	33	34	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.08	8	-17	25	14.9	16.0	-1.12	16.9	16.0	0.97
Gary Grant	19	20	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.15	3	-12	15	17.1	15.3	1.78	18.2	15.8	2.44
Kelvin Cato	10	11	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.15	-12	3	-15	20.7	15.1	5.60	17.1	16.2	0.89
Jermaine O'Neal	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.52	6	-15	21	16.4	14.7	1.71	16.5	16.0	0.57
Rasheed Wallace	95	95	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.29	-6	-3	-3	15.5	19.6	-4.15	16.3	15.7	0.58
Damon Stoudamire	81	79	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.39	-12	3	-15	15.3	17.1	-1.78	15.8	18.2	-2.44
Isaiah Rider	87	85	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.28	-16	7	-23	15.4	17.5	-2.16	15.7	19.7	-3.97
Brian Grant	83	81	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.23	-22	13	-35	16.0	14.1	1.93	15.6	19.3	-3.64

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Smith	60	61	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.36	21	-12	33	16.2	16.5	-0.26	16.6	14.2	2.43
Lee Mayberry	75	76	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.06	26	-17	43	16.1	17.1	-1.03	16.7	12.5	4.16
Blue Edwards	83	85	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.17	21	-12	33	16.0	18.1	-2.17	16.2	12.3	3.91
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	85	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-8	25	15.9	18.5	-2.63	15.8	15.1	0.62
Tony Massenburg	65	65	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.17	9	0	9	16.7	15.5	1.22	17.3	12.5	4.80
Pete Chilcutt	42	42	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	15	-21	16.4	16.2	0.14	13.4	17.3	-3.97
Ivano Newbill	27	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	17	-25	16.4	16.2	0.19	12.8	16.8	-3.99
George Lynch	22	20	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	16	-23	17.7	15.9	1.83	15.8	15.6	0.17
Antonio Daniels	13	13	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.08	-11	20	-31	16.5	16.3	0.27	11.9	16.2	-4.30
Bobby Hurley	24	24	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.18	-17	26	-43	17.1	16.1	1.03	12.5	16.7	-4.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 111, WAS 119	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.63,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.32,0.36,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.73,1	90.6%
CLE 103, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.53,0.76,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.83,0.95,1	89.1%
HOU 99, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	88.1%