NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	9.8 [80]		MVP	Donald Sloan (IND): +25.6%
Washington Wizards	96		Comeback	1.8 [925]		LVP	Chris Copeland (IND): -25.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donald Sloan	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.12,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.26	0.04	0.21	0.00	21	60%	0.50	5	-0.24	10	70%	-0.00
Damjan Rudez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.01	9	64%	0.09	2	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	0.01	-0.02	13	21%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	7	12%	-0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Chris Copeland	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25	-0.07	-0.18	0.00	21	45%	-0.07	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.01	10	52%	0.15	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.01	21	61%	0.34	5	-0.20	9	89%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.09,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11	0.11	-0.09	0.18	-0.02	15	31%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.10
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	5	60%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.05	0.01	14	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.3	3.5	31.5	16.5	27.2	2.8	36.1	1.7	16.8	159.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -2.5%

WAS +24.6%

IND -21.4%

WAS +41.9%

WAS +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	16.9	14.3	15.1	93.1	93.2	104.2
season	16.0	15.1		102.3	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		101.7	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	16.7	18.1	16.1	17.6	14.9	16.9
WAS	12.8	11.9	15.2	17.5	15.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damjan Rudez	28	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-4	6	18.6	16.2	2.40	14.2	14.3	-0.13
Luis Scola	44	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	1	-4	16.5	17.2	-0.69	14.0	14.5	-0.44
Ian Mahinmi	39	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-5	8	17.7	16.4	1.27	14.4	14.2	0.19
Chris Copeland	72	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.44	8	-10	18	16.0	19.2	-3.17	14.2	14.5	-0.31
CJ Miles	52	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	10	-22	17.2	16.6	0.54	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Solomon Hill	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-2	2	17.3	16.0	1.29	15.0	12.9	2.15
Lavoy Allen	57	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-3	4	17.2	16.5	0.69	14.5	14.0	0.44
Roy Hibbert	62	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	2	-6	16.4	17.7	-1.27	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Donald Sloan	82	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	3	-8	16.6	18.2	-1.60	13.9	16.1	-2.22

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	70	68	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.41	19	-17	36	13.8	15.3	-1.53	17.5	15.7	1.76
Paul Pierce	73	71	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.35	16	-14	30	14.1	14.9	-0.81	17.1	16.5	0.58
John Wall	85	82	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-5	12	13.8	16.5	-2.68	16.6	18.2	-1.60
Garrett Temple	83	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.44	1	1	0	14.6	12.9	1.66	16.4	19.2	-2.83
Marcin Gortat	76	74	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.30	1	1	0	14.3	14.1	0.19	16.0	19.4	-3.36
Kevin Seraphin	26	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	0	2	14.6	14.2	0.38	19.7	16.0	3.69
Kris Humphries	4	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	4	-6	14.2	14.3	-0.04	8.5	17.3	-8.76
Andre Miller	18	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	7	-12	16.5	13.8	2.68	18.2	16.6	1.60
Glen Rice Jr.	8	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	5	-8	13.6	14.3	-0.72	16.9	16.9	-0.02
Otto Porter	43	41	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	13	-24	13.9	14.5	-0.62	17.6	16.5	1.09
Drew Gooden	29	29	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.01	-15	17	-32	15.5	13.8	1.66	16.7	17.0	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.69,0.54,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 114, PHI 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.65,0.75,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.55,0.87,1	89.9%
ORL 78, NOK 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.95,1	89.6%
HOU 99, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	89.5%