NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	114		Excitement	12.7 [15]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +32.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	116		Comeback	3.8 [494]		LVP	Corliss Williamson (PHI): -24.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.27	0.03	0.24	0.00	15	56%	0.44	2	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	19	63%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	-0.02	0.08	0.00	19	55%	0.19	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	18	47%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.12
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.01	10	64%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Ruffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	7	42%	-0.04	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.04
Juan Dixon	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,0.01,-0.08,-0.03,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.32	0.32	-0.04	0.36	0.00	26	45%	0.32	0	0.00	10	90%	0.08
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.18	0.00	10	76%	0.30	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.32,0.32,0.17	0.17	0.19	0.00	0.02	17	76%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	18	51%	0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	11	52%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	7	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24	-0.24	-0.16	-0.10	-0.02	12	29%	-0.17	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	24.4	15.7	30.3	2.4	33.3	1.5	12.4	147.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +10.6%

WAS -18.8%

PHI +15.3%

PHI +40.8%

PHI +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.5	108.6	108.4	104.0
season	14.7	13.9		104.7	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	14.4	17.9	14.0	15.4	11.7	15.0
PHI	13.8	14.2	17.9	14.6	14.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	74	75	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.35	13	-15	28	14.3	16.6	-2.32	15.0	15.1	-0.10
Juan Dixon	25	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-2	2	15.2	15.0	0.20	15.8	14.7	1.13
Anthony Peeler	20	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	2	-6	16.8	14.6	2.27	15.9	14.8	1.18
Antawn Jamison	88	88	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-8	14	15.2	14.1	1.06	14.8	15.7	-0.84
Gilbert Arenas	89	90	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-5	8	14.8	16.1	-1.24	14.8	16.2	-1.48
Jarvis Hayes	70	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-4	6	15.3	14.5	0.79	15.5	14.1	1.41
Michael Ruffin	26	27	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	11	-24	15.1	15.0	0.14	15.3	14.9	0.46
Larry Hughes	76	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	1	-4	14.7	15.8	-1.13	14.5	16.2	-1.71
Jared Jeffries	57	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.07	-14	12	-26	15.3	14.7	0.55	14.8	15.2	-0.47

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	95	93	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.44	7	-5	12	14.5	18.5	-3.95	15.0	15.2	-0.18
John Salmons	81	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-5	12	15.0	15.1	-0.11	14.2	17.1	-2.94
Marc Jackson	63	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-2	6	14.3	16.0	-1.71	14.2	16.2	-1.95
Josh Davis	48	47	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	2	-2	13.8	16.0	-2.17	14.9	15.1	-0.29
Allen Iverson	90	90	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.44	-7	9	-16	15.0	15.1	-0.08	15.0	15.0	0.01
Willie Green	20	18	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	-3	8	15.7	14.8	0.87	14.7	15.1	-0.41
Corliss Williamson	60	58	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.13	2	0	2	15.7	14.1	1.61	15.1	14.9	0.29
Samuel Dalembert	43	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	4	-6	16.4	14.1	2.31	16.2	14.2	1.95
Andre Iguodala	29	32	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	5	-8	14.6	15.1	-0.51	16.8	14.2	2.55
Aaron McKie	6	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	5	-8	22.0	14.6	7.43	17.2	14.9	2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.65,0.75,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.55,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.69,0.54,0.86,0.96,1	89.9%
HOU 99, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	88.6%
SAS 121, GSW 130	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.71,0.6,0.7,0.81,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.54,0.4,0.53,0.77,0.93,0.91,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.98,1	88.4%