inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 121 Excitement10.3 [50] MVPStephen Jackson (GSW): +59.4%
Golden State Warriors 130 Comeback2.1 [548] LVPRobert Horry (SAS): -6.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0.470,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.470.150.330.012067%0.553-0.086100%0.03
Tim Duncan0.230,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.230.140.090.001959%0.251-0.011687%0.10
Ime Udoka0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.3,0.12,0.120.080.040.00959%0.1200.00450%-0.02
Manu Ginobili0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09-0.010.07-0.031559%0.205-0.11475%0.01
Michael Finley0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.090.070.01-0.001161%0.0900.001100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.06-0.01837%0.0500.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.01160%0.013-0.073100%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.07,0.07,0.27,0.59,0.590.590.070.540.022157%0.653-0.069100%0.11
Baron Davis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.570.570.270.310.011874%0.5700.001090%0.06
Kelenna Azubuike0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.230.230.180.060.007114%0.2300.0000%0.00
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.010.00972%0.131-0.0700%0.00
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.030.00756%0.0100.00250%-0.02
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.02865%0.053-0.08475%-0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011844%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.42.431.415.425.42.636.32.515.1156.4
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.31.917.1140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +43.8%
GSW +1.2%
GSW +12.6%
GSW +2.5%
SAS -10.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASGSWNBASASGSWNBA
this game16.214.815.4118.6126.2105.7
season16.513.5104.7109.8
opponent15.115.3107.9100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS15.517.317.416.013.416.2
GSW15.113.413.316.816.614.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jacque Vaughn20200.09-0.590.680.061-101116.916.10.8316.314.41.87
Fabricio Oberto22220.07-0.570.64-0.044-131717.116.01.1516.114.41.70
Bruce Bowen5757-0.03-0.470.43-0.030-9917.314.92.4114.215.6-1.39
Matt Bonner1616-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-6316.716.20.5416.014.61.43
Robert Horry2928-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-7515.916.4-0.5213.615.2-1.63
Ime Udoka4648-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.20-6-3-315.716.7-0.9815.214.50.69
Michael Finley7878-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.31-5-4-116.316.00.2515.014.20.79
Manu Ginobili8082-0.510.01-0.53-0.19-112-1315.817.9-2.1315.014.01.00
Tim Duncan8081-0.570.07-0.64-0.19-134-1716.017.1-1.1514.416.1-1.70
Tony Parker8283-0.590.09-0.68-0.30-101-1116.116.9-0.8314.416.3-1.87

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andris Biedrins78791.39-0.892.290.8718-92714.416.2-1.8016.615.11.43
Baron Davis93920.58-0.080.670.2013-41714.715.4-0.6716.117.9-1.85
Monta Ellis98970.440.060.370.2954114.814.8-0.0016.412.44.03
Stephen Jackson91890.350.150.210.2154114.913.71.1816.315.80.45
Kelenna Azubuike50470.330.170.170.0410-11113.316.2-2.9916.316.10.19
Matt Barnes17180.090.41-0.33-0.0654113.115.1-2.0114.416.6-2.17
Al Harrington4242-0.320.82-1.15-0.21-413-1715.814.11.6316.615.90.69
Mickael Pietrus4646-0.360.86-1.23-0.16-716-2316.813.23.6315.716.6-0.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.71,0.6,0.7,0.81,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.54,0.4,0.53,0.77,0.93,0.91,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 89, HOU 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.47,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.73,188.5%
ORL 78, NOK 840.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.95,188.5%
WAS 114, PHI 1160.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.65,0.75,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.55,0.87,188.4%