NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	92		Excitement	10.1 [37]		MVP	Vernon Maxwell (SAC): +33.6%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	7.8 [92]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -43.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34	0.09	0.25	0.00	15	65%	0.38	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.03	0.01	12	58%	0.22	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.04
Jason Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Peja Stojakovic	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	7	53%	-0.07	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.41	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.37,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	17	31%	-0.22	5	-0.19	5	40%	-0.11
Vlade Divac	-0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.43,-0.42,-0.44	-0.12	-0.31	-0.00	11	47%	-0.27	4	-0.17	10	70%	-0.06

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.05,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.08	0.22	0.01	13	62%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.01	10	73%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Thurl Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	12	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.08
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.37,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.17	-0.23	-0.01	19	43%	-0.17	5	-0.21	9	89%	0.04
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	-0.41	-0.14	-0.29	-0.01	12	34%	-0.32	1	-0.10	11	91%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.9	3.3	31.6	20.7	30.3	2.7	35.5	1.8	16.3	171.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -31.3%

UTA +42.2%

UTA +22.1%

UTA +15.4%

UTA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	16.6	15.8	95.8	101.0	99.6
season	14.1	16.4		100.1	102.6
opponent	16.0	15.5		96.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	15.5	17.5	15.5	16.3	16.4	16.2
UTA	15.2	20.4	15.8	15.7	16.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	42	45	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.02	12	-19	31	16.4	16.0	0.32	17.0	16.3	0.65
Scot Pollard	20	20	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-14	21	16.9	16.0	0.91	17.3	16.4	0.94
Vernon Maxwell	51	53	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.36	13	-20	33	16.6	15.7	0.84	16.4	16.9	-0.53
Michael Hawkins	1	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-6	5	27.0	16.1	10.94	24.0	16.5	7.47
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	1	-9	15.2	16.7	-1.46	16.0	16.9	-0.97
Jon Barry	65	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.38	3	-10	13	16.8	14.9	1.88	17.1	15.6	1.49
Corliss Williamson	39	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	6	-19	15.9	16.4	-0.47	15.9	17.1	-1.13
Vlade Divac	88	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-4	1	16.2	16.0	0.19	16.2	20.8	-4.60
Jason Williams	48	47	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	15	-37	15.4	17.0	-1.56	16.6	16.6	-0.05
Chris Webber	83	86	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.20	-16	9	-25	16.0	17.4	-1.40	16.9	14.3	2.59

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	65	64	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.24	20	-13	33	16.3	17.2	-0.83	15.7	17.0	-1.28
John Stockton	68	66	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.09	17	-10	27	16.8	16.1	0.68	16.0	16.6	-0.66
Karl Malone	87	86	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.26	11	-4	15	17.0	13.5	3.44	16.1	16.7	-0.58
Shandon Anderson	57	55	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.32	2	5	-3	17.1	15.9	1.29	16.7	15.5	1.20
Greg Ostertag	15	14	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	2	3	13.9	17.1	-3.15	12.9	16.7	-3.80
Todd Fuller	15	15	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	5	-3	21.8	15.7	6.14	16.9	16.0	0.82
Greg Foster	42	42	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	8	-9	15.9	17.1	-1.22	16.9	15.6	1.21
Adam Keefe	8	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	9	-11	13.2	16.9	-3.65	17.3	16.1	1.23
Bryon Russell	68	69	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	10	-13	15.8	18.4	-2.59	15.8	17.3	-1.51
Howard Eisley	36	36	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.21	-12	19	-31	17.2	16.3	0.94	17.2	15.6	1.58
Thurl Bailey	20	18	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.04	-11	18	-29	16.0	16.8	-0.76	16.7	16.1	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 111, LAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.67,0.55,0.28,0.23,0.08,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.86,0.93,1	89.7%
LAL 93, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.68,0.47,0.29,0.23,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.87,1	89.3%
MIL 127, TOR 131	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.46,0.47,0.72,0.76,0.98,1	89.1%