NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	81		Excitement	11.5 [15]		MVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): +14.9%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	3.8 [444]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -73.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.13	0.01	12	57%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Brian Cardinal	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.07	0.14	-0.01	13	44%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	32%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	9	11%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.10	-0.00	4	17%	-0.18	2	-0.05	4	0%	-0.15
Nick Van Exel	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29	-0.11	-0.19	-0.01	15	23%	-0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.73	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.51,-0.51,-0.57,-0.57,-0.68,-0.73	-0.22	-0.54	-0.02	25	39%	-0.57	4	-0.16	14	57%	-0.12

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.19,0.15,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.05	-0.00	21	59%	0.12	2	-0.12	4	50%	-0.06
Marcus Fizer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.31,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	23	47%	-0.10	2	-0.07	9	44%	-0.13
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	12	42%	-0.08	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.17	-0.21	-0.04	13	31%	-0.26	1	-0.08	10	50%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.0	1.4	28.0	14.8	25.2	2.5	35.3	1.5	18.1	148.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +63.9%

GSW -1.8%

CHI +3.3%

GSW -20.0%

CHI +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHI	NBA	GSW	CHI	NBA
this game	17.3	14.1	15.7	80.2	86.1	100.5
season	16.1	15.2		100.8	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.3		101.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	18.2	15.9	17.9	18.6	15.0	17.3
CHI	14.4	14.1	14.9	13.5	13.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	33	34	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.08	5	-11	16	17.6	17.2	0.43	14.2	14.1	0.06
Avery Johnson	32	33	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.08	10	-16	26	16.5	17.8	-1.28	14.7	13.9	0.83
Adonal Foyle	10	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-9	12	17.9	17.3	0.61	15.0	14.0	0.96
Erick Dampier	83	83	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-6	6	17.6	16.1	1.50	14.9	10.8	4.02
Clifford Robinson	65	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	0	-6	17.5	17.0	0.50	13.9	14.5	-0.58
Jason Richardson	92	92	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-7	8	17.4	17.1	0.26	14.3	12.8	1.49
Mike Dunleavy	36	35	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.37	-8	2	-10	15.6	18.3	-2.65	12.5	15.0	-2.44
Brian Cardinal	77	79	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.31	-13	7	-20	17.8	15.8	1.98	13.9	14.8	-0.87
Nick Van Exel	67	65	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.29	-16	10	-26	17.7	16.6	1.14	14.0	14.4	-0.43

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	89	91	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-2	10	14.4	12.5	1.86	17.0	20.3	-3.28
Jamal Crawford	88	88	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-1	8	14.2	13.6	0.60	17.1	19.2	-2.07
Kendall Gill	89	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	0	6	14.3	12.9	1.39	17.3	17.9	-0.68
Antonio Davis	84	83	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.31	3	3	0	14.2	13.7	0.52	17.5	16.7	0.76
Kirk Hinrich	78	81	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	1	4	14.1	14.4	-0.33	18.1	14.1	4.05
Marcus Fizer	5	4	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	4	-2	10.2	14.3	-4.14	17.0	17.4	-0.36
Tyson Chandler	24	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	7	-8	13.8	14.2	-0.40	18.2	17.1	1.08
Ronald Dupree	37	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	12	-18	13.9	14.3	-0.43	17.1	17.5	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.47,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 116, CHI 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.21,0.33,0.16,0.46,0.52,0.63,0.45,0.73,1	90.6%
HOU 88, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.45,0.83,1	90.1%
MIL 103, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.84,1	89.7%