inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 88 Excitement12.0 [17] MVPSteven Smith (POR): +15.8%
Portland Trail Blazers 91 Comeback1.4 [875] LVPRasheed Wallace (POR): -75.9%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelvin Cato0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.030.11-0.00762%0.1400.00771%-0.09
Bryce Drew0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.010.00650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Walt Williams-0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.00642%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.01543%-0.012-0.05450%-0.01
Matt Bullard-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.070.02-0.090.00850%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.0010%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Carlos Rogers-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.12-0.080.00333%-0.035-0.1700%0.00
Cuttino Mobley-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.38,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25-0.07-0.180.001953%0.015-0.26989%0.03
Charles Barkley-0.460,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46-0.10-0.37-0.011146%-0.164-0.306100%0.03
Steve Francis-0.610,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.56,-0.61-0.25-0.36-0.011725%-0.524-0.08667%-0.15

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.18,0.160.16-0.020.17-0.001254%0.222-0.06450%-0.03
Greg Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.080.080.060.02-0.00769%0.0800.002100%0.04
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.03-0.00333%0.0200.0000%0.00
Arvydas Sabonis0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.001050%0.0100.0000%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00747%-0.0100.00367%-0.01
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05-0.05-0.110.05-0.011329%-0.011-0.04250%-0.04
Scottie Pippen0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.04-0.150.021651%-0.103-0.10580%-0.00
Detlef Schrempf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.10-0.110.00525%-0.092-0.12250%-0.06
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.62,-0.76,-0.76,-0.76,-0.76,-0.76,-0.76-0.76-0.13-0.630.001442%-0.523-0.24862%-0.20
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.51.830.017.828.01.838.11.520.0163.5
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +34.6%
HOU -12.8%
HOU -13.8%
POR +32.9%
POR +9.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUPORNBAHOUPORNBA
this game15.915.215.285.489.2101.7
season15.415.9102.4105.9
opponent15.714.699.1103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
HOU13.317.115.916.917.815.9
POR14.418.114.815.811.115.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryce Drew30300.44-0.941.39-0.0517-203715.016.2-1.1715.515.00.44
Carlos Rogers3027-0.05-0.450.400.04-30-314.616.4-1.7814.515.4-0.87
Kelvin Cato7270-0.15-0.350.21-0.388-111916.614.12.5314.815.9-1.05
Walt Williams3838-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-63-915.116.3-1.2015.914.71.26
Cuttino Mobley7674-0.22-0.280.05-0.437-101716.115.30.8214.616.7-2.20
Shandon Anderson4341-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-118-1915.416.2-0.8016.214.51.70
Hakeem Olajuwon3030-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-1310-2314.316.5-2.1616.714.52.19
Matt Bullard4951-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.524-71116.515.31.2714.615.7-1.06
Charles Barkley7375-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.450-3316.414.61.7815.414.50.87
Steve Francis7474-0.870.37-1.24-0.34-1815-3316.115.30.7714.716.3-1.61

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damon Stoudamire63670.90-0.401.300.3419-163514.216.7-2.5715.716.2-0.51
Steven Smith78780.74-0.240.990.2716-132914.916.0-1.1015.516.9-1.39
Rasheed Wallace85840.72-0.220.940.3413-102314.319.2-4.8915.417.7-2.30
Arvydas Sabonis39410.310.190.120.34-14-516.714.22.4917.814.63.22
Scottie Pippen84860.310.190.110.2521114.617.6-2.9115.915.70.19
Stacey Augmon16170.160.34-0.180.33-69-1516.215.01.3019.015.23.76
Brian Grant38380.060.44-0.390.08-14-515.614.90.7115.416.1-0.74
Detlef Schrempf4241-0.060.56-0.610.18-811-1915.315.00.2615.616.0-0.42
Jermaine O'Neal2627-0.130.63-0.76-0.01-47-1116.414.71.6514.216.5-2.28
Greg Anthony3936-0.511.01-1.51-0.07-1518-3316.714.22.5716.215.70.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.45,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 93, UTA 980.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.68,0.47,0.29,0.23,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.87,190.3%
GSW 81, CHI 870.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.47,0.58,190.1%
UTA 108, ORL 1140.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.83,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.55,0.58,189.9%