NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	108		Excitement	11.4 [32]		MVP	Tony Battie (ORL): +30.8%
Orlando Magic	114		Comeback	2.2 [729]		LVP	Keith McLeod (UTA): -22.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	12	66%	0.18	2	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
Matt Harpring	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,0.03,0.02	-0.08	0.08	-0.03	16	43%	0.12	3	-0.10	10	50%	-0.17
Deron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.10	-0.03	23	59%	0.34	3	-0.33	5	80%	-0.04
Milt Palacio	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.15	0.07	-0.22	0.00	22	57%	-0.08	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.06
Keith McLeod	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22	-0.04	-0.18	0.00	6	36%	-0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.13	0.19	0.01	10	73%	0.31	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.17	0.01	13	69%	0.31	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.16	0.02	17	64%	0.31	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.08
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	6	76%	0.14	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	3	37%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	7	64%	0.12	6	-0.20	11	73%	-0.06
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.15	-0.02	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	29.2	15.7	27.2	2.6	35.0	1.6	17.0	154.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +81.4%

ORL +12.4%

UTA -35.0%

ORL +1.1%

UTA -9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ORL	NBA	UTA	ORL	NBA
this game	17.7	14.4	15.6	109.1	115.2	104.4
season	17.0	16.4		101.7	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.0		105.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	18.3	17.0	16.8	21.0	14.5	17.7
ORL	13.2	14.3	13.7	16.9	14.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	10	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-4	2	21.2	17.3	3.86	12.3	14.7	-2.34
Jarron Collins	23	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-6	6	19.1	17.3	1.83	13.1	14.8	-1.65
Milt Palacio	27	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-4	2	18.1	17.6	0.58	12.4	15.2	-2.78
Keith McLeod	59	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.35	6	-12	18	17.1	18.6	-1.46	14.9	13.7	1.22
Deron Williams	31	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	7	-20	17.6	17.8	-0.21	14.1	14.5	-0.40
Mehmet Okur	87	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-3	0	17.5	19.1	-1.54	14.6	12.7	1.97
Andrei Kirilenko	87	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-3	0	17.5	19.1	-1.54	14.6	12.7	1.97
Matt Harpring	83	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	17.8	17.1	0.72	14.9	12.2	2.68
Carlos Boozer	88	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	3	-12	17.5	19.2	-1.64	14.5	13.6	0.85

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	63	65	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-4	14	14.2	14.7	-0.47	17.9	17.4	0.53
Tony Battie	59	61	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-7	20	15.6	12.6	3.05	18.4	16.6	1.82
Jameer Nelson	63	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-7	20	13.8	15.4	-1.56	17.4	18.4	-1.09
Hedo Turkoglu	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	-2	10	14.3	14.9	-0.63	17.6	18.3	-0.78
Dwight Howard	80	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	0	6	14.4	14.3	0.16	17.2	20.1	-2.94
Bo Outlaw	9	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	4	-2	10.9	14.7	-3.86	18.3	17.7	0.64
Stacey Augmon	20	20	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	9	-12	14.9	14.3	0.63	18.3	17.6	0.78
Darko Milicic	50	47	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	13	-20	13.5	15.3	-1.77	17.7	17.8	-0.13
Keyon Dooling	34	32	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.11	-7	13	-20	15.2	14.0	1.24	18.4	17.4	1.00
Carlos Arroyo	38	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	11	-16	14.9	14.1	0.81	17.5	17.9	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.83,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	90.0%
HOU 88, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.45,0.83,1	89.9%
TOR 105, BKN 106	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.83,0.75,0.63,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.58,1	89.4%