NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	110		Excitement	11.4 [23]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): +23.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Comeback	2.4 [553]		LVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): -34.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	18	65%	0.27	3	-0.17	10	80%	-0.03
Travis Best	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	9	48%	0.03	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Zan Tabak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	3	86%	0.10	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	0.05	-0.19	0.01	13	62%	-0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	9	20%	-0.15	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.08
Jalen Rose	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.04,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,0.09,0.13,-0.22	0.01	-0.21	0.01	26	53%	-0.15	2	-0.07	7	86%	-0.07
Jeff Foster	-0.33	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.06	-0.27	0.00	3	25%	-0.31	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.26

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23	0.23	0.03	0.19	-0.01	7	67%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	10	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	70%	0.11	1	-0.05	8	100%	0.06
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	11	46%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04,-0.23,-0.17,-0.15,-0.26,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	25	55%	0.21	4	-0.35	12	83%	0.02
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.16,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.28,-0.28,-0.34	-0.34	-0.09	-0.25	0.01	17	41%	-0.21	2	-0.14	5	100%	0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	32.0	15.8	24.4	1.8	39.2	1.7	17.6	161.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +9.9%

MIN +62.7%

IND -4.4%

IND -12.7%

IND -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.4	15.5	102.8	110.8	100.9
season	15.9	15.0		99.3	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.6		101.7	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	16.3	16.3	17.8	14.5	13.7	16.0
MIN	13.2	14.3	14.1	15.5	16.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	74	72	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.21	9	-12	21	16.6	14.5	2.17	15.0	13.1	1.90
Zan Tabak	51	49	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-7	11	16.8	15.2	1.66	13.7	15.1	-1.36
Travis Best	69	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-2	1	15.0	17.7	-2.68	14.3	14.7	-0.48
Reggie Miller	78	77	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	0	-3	16.6	14.2	2.40	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Al Harrington	65	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	0	-3	16.6	15.0	1.65	13.6	15.7	-2.12
Jalen Rose	85	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.37	6	-9	15	16.5	13.9	2.63	14.8	13.0	1.81
Jeff Foster	48	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	4	-11	16.2	15.8	0.39	15.4	13.6	1.88
Derrick McKey	6	4	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	4	-11	8.0	16.4	-8.43	10.0	14.6	-4.62
Austin Croshere	37	34	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.39	-7	4	-11	13.8	17.1	-3.32	13.4	15.0	-1.63

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	83	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-1	5	14.4	14.6	-0.17	15.8	16.7	-0.95
Anthony Peeler	64	69	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.40	2	1	1	14.5	14.3	0.16	15.0	17.6	-2.60
Kevin Garnett	86	90	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	-1	5	14.7	13.0	1.71	16.3	14.3	1.97
LaPhonso Ellis	68	71	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	4	-5	14.7	13.9	0.88	15.5	16.8	-1.24
Wally Szczerbiak	83	86	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	-9	21	14.4	14.5	-0.04	16.4	14.1	2.25
Chauncey Billups	58	62	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	1	1	14.2	14.7	-0.54	16.8	14.8	1.91
Tom Hammonds	3	3	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-1	5	12.7	14.5	-1.83	10.0	16.1	-6.13
Rasho Nesterovic	25	26	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	-1	5	13.6	14.7	-1.17	14.8	16.3	-1.46
Sam Mitchell	8	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	10	-17	11.7	14.7	-2.92	14.6	16.1	-1.44
Dean Garrett	23	23	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.10	-12	15	-27	14.4	14.4	-0.01	19.2	15.1	4.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.66,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.58,1	91.6%
MIA 111, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	90.5%
UTA 108, ORL 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.83,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.55,0.58,1	90.0%