NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	121		Excitement	9.9 [72]		MVP	Kevin Porter Jr. (HOU): +15.3%
Houston Rockets	118		Comeback	3.9 [465]		LVP	Josh Christopher (HOU): -35.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,0.1,0.1	-0.04	0.14	-0.00	8	50%	0.18	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.06	0.13	-0.06	0.02	13	69%	0.15	1	-0.09	9	67%	-0.09
Trey Lyles	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.03,-0.03,0.04	0.15	-0.10	0.01	12	67%	0.04	0	0.00	12	83%	0.05
Josh Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Alex Len	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	10	41%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	9	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	11	48%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14	-0.02	-0.13	-0.01	22	52%	0.09	4	-0.23	2	100%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	-0.02	0.01	17	77%	0.34	3	-0.19	5	80%	0.02
Usman Garuba	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	5	62%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03	0.03	0.14	-0.10	0.02	25	58%	0.09	1	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.07	-0.01	8	77%	0.17	3	-0.15	6	83%	0.02
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	9	39%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Daishen Nix	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	7	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.15	0.01	5	30%	-0.08	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Josh Christopher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.36	-0.36	-0.15	-0.22	-0.01	9	27%	-0.15	4	-0.21	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.7	30.0	14.5	30.5	2.3	41.3	147.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -6.8%

HOU -0.3%

SAC +5.2%

SAC +44.8%

SAC +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.1	13.5	14.5	116.3	112.4	110.8
season	14.0	14.4		109.2	107.5
opponent	13.9	14.6		115.7	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.5	11.1	15.5	14.5	14.1
HOU	12.8	15.1	12.2	13.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	73	75	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.49	11	-8	19	13.8	14.7	-0.86	14.3	11.4	2.92
Davion Mitchell	84	85	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.50	6	-3	9	14.1	14.1	-0.03	13.4	13.6	-0.20
Trey Lyles	82	81	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.38	9	-6	15	13.8	15.0	-1.11	13.2	14.6	-1.42
Damian Jones	74	75	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.35	9	-6	15	14.1	14.1	-0.08	14.0	12.3	1.66
Donte DiVincenzo	63	65	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.47	-3	6	-9	13.7	14.6	-0.84	13.0	14.3	-1.27
Josh Jackson	25	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.15	3	0	3	14.0	14.1	-0.05	14.8	13.1	1.78
Alex Len	7	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	6	-9	15.7	14.0	1.76	11.5	13.6	-2.15
Justin Holiday	22	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	9	-15	17.0	13.3	3.71	12.8	13.7	-0.90
Chimezie Metu	37	37	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	12	-21	13.8	14.2	-0.41	12.4	14.1	-1.71
Jeremy Lamb	53	53	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.16	-2	5	-7	14.0	14.2	-0.16	13.5	13.5	0.05

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Fernando	49	48	0.46	-0.96	1.42	-0.01	16	-19	35	13.4	13.6	-0.18	14.5	13.7	0.75
Kenyon Martin Jr.	52	51	0.43	-0.93	1.36	-0.04	16	-19	35	13.4	13.6	-0.16	14.4	13.7	0.70
Josh Christopher	54	53	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.24	16	-19	35	12.9	14.1	-1.19	14.2	14.0	0.23
Daishen Nix	38	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	5	-13	13.9	13.3	0.64	13.9	14.1	-0.20
Kevin Porter Jr.	84	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.53	0	-3	3	13.6	13.0	0.67	14.1	13.8	0.33
Jalen Green	81	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.56	0	-3	3	13.1	14.7	-1.58	14.1	14.0	0.15
Garrison Mathews	59	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.10	-19	16	-35	14.0	12.8	1.25	13.7	14.6	-0.94
Usman Garuba	55	55	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.23	-17	14	-31	13.6	13.4	0.24	14.0	14.2	-0.20
Jae'Sean Tate	53	53	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.37	-19	16	-35	13.6	13.4	0.16	13.7	14.4	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.28,0.46,0.48,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.55,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.43,0.36,0.24,0.36,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.13,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.68,0.37,0.45,0.16,0	91.2%
MIL 79, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.4,0.31,0.1,0.22,0.02,0	90.4%
PHX 72, SAS 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.27,0	90.1%