inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 72 Excitement8.6 [163] MVPRodney Rogers (PHX): +11.8%
San Antonio Spurs 70 Comeback2.0 [377] LVPSean Elliott (SAS): -26.9%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Rogers0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.120.010.08-0.031454%0.152-0.0300%0.00
Shawn Marion0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.001050%0.0200.0000%0.00
Oliver Miller-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Luc Longley-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00425%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Todd Day-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.0010%-0.011-0.0500%0.00
Corie Blount-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09-0.04-0.050.00536%-0.0900.00475%0.03
Randy Livingston-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.00-0.01617%-0.063-0.0600%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.120,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.001842%-0.053-0.074100%0.04
Anfernee Hardaway-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16-0.02-0.15-0.011650%-0.102-0.062100%0.01
Kevin Johnson-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.10-0.140.00617%-0.182-0.0600%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Robinson0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.010.01-0.090.10-0.001235%0.0100.00771%0.01
Samaki Walker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.01859%0.023-0.10650%-0.03
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.080.00550%-0.031-0.0500%0.00
Jerome Kersey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.0130%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.070.001154%-0.033-0.09450%-0.07
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.06-0.00729%-0.062-0.0800%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.10-0.07-0.01837%0.053-0.21333%-0.02
Mario Elie0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25-0.25-0.16-0.10-0.0159%-0.074-0.181100%0.01
Sean Elliott0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.27-0.270.03-0.300.001454%-0.231-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.829.019.424.42.443.1146.3
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS -15.3%
PHX +9.8%
PHX +16.2%
PHX +41.8%
SAS -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXSASNBAPHXSASNBA
this game15.815.615.279.176.1101.7
season14.815.5101.4101.6
opponent15.415.395.996.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHX17.113.015.318.815.8
SAS18.014.714.715.515.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corie Blount41400.58-0.080.660.406-41015.915.80.0814.416.6-2.20
Anfernee Hardaway82830.56-0.060.630.425-3815.419.4-4.0115.715.10.59
Rodney Rogers47480.51-0.010.530.433-1415.915.70.1615.216.1-0.91
Kevin Johnson46480.480.020.460.335-3817.214.52.6614.417.0-2.69
Clifford Robinson77780.460.040.420.4311015.915.40.5615.914.31.60
Shawn Marion58580.030.47-0.450.0302-215.716.2-0.5015.715.60.08
Randy Livingston45440.020.48-0.460.11-35-814.517.2-2.6617.014.42.69
Oliver Miller2021-0.030.53-0.56-0.0302-214.016.3-2.2917.815.02.81
Luc Longley3031-0.050.55-0.600.07-46-1017.015.31.6915.815.60.20
Todd Day99-0.060.56-0.630.03-35-819.415.44.0115.115.7-0.59

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Porter36380.16-0.660.81-0.026-81415.615.7-0.1416.615.31.28
Antonio Daniels28270.05-0.550.600.08-1-1015.515.7-0.2517.815.02.76
Jerome Kersey27250.03-0.530.56-0.001-3415.615.7-0.1216.215.70.45
Samaki Walker7270-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-20-215.914.51.3915.118.4-3.37
David Robinson5657-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.473-5814.916.8-1.8716.914.02.93
Avery Johnson6363-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.45-1-1016.014.91.0415.317.1-1.89
Malik Rose5755-0.510.01-0.52-0.36-53-815.715.50.1615.716.1-0.36
Sean Elliott6060-0.530.03-0.56-0.41-42-616.114.71.4115.516.5-0.93
Mario Elie6160-0.680.18-0.86-0.47-75-1215.216.4-1.1715.316.9-1.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 93, BKN 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.24,0.37,0.45,0.16,093.5%
LAL 89, LAC 870.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.57,0.68,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.27,092.5%
MIL 113, MIN 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.1,092.3%