NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	93		Excitement	8.0 [261]		MVP	Mason Plumlee (BKN): +35.7%
Brooklyn Nets	88		Comeback	2.3 [277]		LVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): -27.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.14	0.19	0.00	19	61%	0.35	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.06
Jeff Teague	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	15	58%	0.21	2	-0.10	8	100%	0.10
Mike Muscala	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	6	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.15	-0.13	-0.00	8	18%	-0.21	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.18	0.18	0.00	6	89%	0.36	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	6	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jorge Gutierrez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	5	79%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	6	29%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.08
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.07	-0.03	15	30%	-0.10	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.17	-0.00	14	38%	-0.20	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.17
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.19	-0.01	17	41%	-0.14	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	27.6	15.4	26.2	2.5	34.3	133.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +4.6%

ATL +30.1%

ATL +3.9%

ATL +5.6%

ATL +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BKN	NBA	ATL	BKN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.6	15.1	102.2	96.7	105.2
season	14.8	15.7		103.8	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.7	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.9	14.2	21.5	15.6	16.1
BKN	15.5	16.4	13.8	16.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	64	63	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-10	25	15.9	16.4	-0.47	15.8	15.0	0.88
Kyle Korver	72	71	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-7	19	15.8	17.2	-1.37	15.5	15.7	-0.23
Paul Millsap	68	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.36	7	-2	9	16.6	14.6	2.02	15.6	15.4	0.19
DeMarre Carroll	68	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	0	5	16.6	14.5	2.08	15.9	14.6	1.23
Mike Muscala	15	16	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	-9	23	13.6	16.6	-2.97	16.2	15.4	0.82
Elton Brand	46	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	3	-1	16.0	16.2	-0.20	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Pero Antic	30	30	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.37	-11	16	-27	17.5	15.4	2.07	15.7	15.5	0.14
Mike Scott	23	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	7	-9	14.6	16.6	-2.02	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Cartier Martin	10	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	11	-17	12.5	16.5	-4.02	13.7	15.8	-2.10
Louis Williams	37	36	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.00	-5	10	-15	16.5	15.8	0.64	15.1	15.9	-0.72
Dennis Schroder	22	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.00	-6	11	-17	16.8	15.9	0.92	15.6	15.6	0.02

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mirza Teletovic	37	39	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.12	11	-16	27	15.6	15.5	0.13	17.3	15.1	2.20
Jorge Gutierrez	54	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-7	9	15.2	16.1	-0.86	16.3	15.7	0.68
Kevin Garnett	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	1	-7	15.4	15.7	-0.37	15.9	16.2	-0.36
Marquis Teague	49	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	1	-7	16.0	15.1	0.84	15.5	16.8	-1.31
Mason Plumlee	53	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.28	1	-6	7	15.5	15.6	-0.10	16.1	16.1	0.04
Marcus Thornton	58	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-4	3	16.2	14.5	1.70	15.8	16.5	-0.64
Joe Johnson	60	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-1	-3	15.4	15.8	-0.41	16.7	15.0	1.74
Andrei Kirilenko	52	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	1	-7	15.0	16.3	-1.24	15.9	16.3	-0.37
Paul Pierce	55	54	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.31	-16	11	-27	15.7	15.4	0.35	15.3	17.2	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.24,0.37,0.45,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 72, SAS 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.27,0	93.5%
MIL 113, MIN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.1,0	92.1%
OKC 104, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.43,0.16,0	91.7%