NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Excitement	8.7 [129]		MVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): +16.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	1.9 [568]		LVP	Michael Beasley (MIN): -31.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daequan Cook	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	6	50%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.07	-0.03	0.10	0.00	4	40%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.05	0.02	23	62%	0.20	2	-0.13	7	100%	0.06
James Harden	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.14	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Nick Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	2	62%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.25,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	21	56%	0.25	7	-0.36	8	100%	0.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.11	-0.01	3	75%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	11	61%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.02	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	14	55%	0.12	3	-0.14	12	75%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	14	43%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.15,-0.31	-0.31	-0.05	-0.28	-0.02	27	42%	-0.18	2	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.0	29.2	15.5	25.2	2.0	35.0	139.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +29.4%

OKC +36.4%

OKC +5.1%

MIN -24.8%

OKC +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIN	NBA	OKC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	13.6	15.6	106.1	100.0	102.8
season	14.7	15.3		107.9	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.8		104.7	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.8	16.0	16.3	16.0	15.5
MIN	13.3	14.0	15.0	12.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	51	53	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-8	20	14.5	16.6	-2.17	14.9	12.1	2.82
Kendrick Perkins	55	57	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.28	13	-9	22	14.7	16.4	-1.70	14.3	12.7	1.54
Russell Westbrook	74	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-6	16	14.7	17.8	-3.10	14.2	11.8	2.33
Kevin Durant	79	81	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-3	10	14.6	19.2	-4.55	13.9	12.3	1.61
James Harden	60	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-1	6	15.9	14.8	1.06	12.6	15.2	-2.57
Serge Ibaka	42	42	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.07	1	3	-2	14.7	16.1	-1.32	14.6	12.9	1.68
Nazr Mohammed	30	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	6	-8	17.5	14.6	2.95	12.6	14.1	-1.41
Eric Maynor	24	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	10	-16	17.8	14.7	3.10	11.8	14.2	-2.33
Nick Collison	45	45	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.15	-12	16	-28	16.5	14.6	1.85	12.8	14.3	-1.41
Daequan Cook	30	29	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	12	-20	17.6	14.5	3.09	12.0	14.3	-2.33

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	41	40	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-8	12	14.3	13.2	1.14	15.6	15.4	0.14
Anthony Tolliver	40	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-6	8	13.2	13.9	-0.66	16.2	15.0	1.16
Anthony Randolph	8	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-2	0	13.2	13.7	-0.40	11.9	15.8	-3.94
Jose Juan Barea	57	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.42	11	-15	26	12.6	14.9	-2.26	16.1	14.7	1.40
Luke Ridnour	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	1	-6	15.0	12.8	2.16	15.4	15.6	-0.20
Wesley Johnson	53	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	9	-22	14.7	12.4	2.29	14.2	16.9	-2.70
Ricky Rubio	54	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-3	2	12.7	14.7	-2.07	16.2	14.7	1.52
Derrick Williams	49	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	0	-4	12.6	14.6	-1.94	16.5	14.5	2.06
Kevin Love	84	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	0	-4	13.8	12.6	1.18	15.7	14.5	1.13
Michael Beasley	78	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	4	-12	13.9	12.5	1.38	14.6	18.4	-3.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 110, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.33,0.24,0.36,0.32,0.09,0	92.5%
TOR 97, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.26,0	92.2%
PHX 72, SAS 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.27,0	91.9%