NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	110		Excitement	8.0 [251]		MVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): +30.8%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	1.6 [1031]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -24.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.05	0.17	0.02	10	73%	0.29	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.08	0.09	0.00	10	64%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.15,0.15	-0.01	0.15	-0.01	12	42%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	13	68%	0.21	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Pero Antic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Elton Brand	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	12	34%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.12	0.03	-0.12	0.02	16	53%	-0.02	2	-0.10	11	82%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.18	0.13	0.00	7	100%	0.35	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.21,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.00	7	100%	0.24	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	13	57%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Carl Landry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Ben McLemore	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	11	46%	-0.00	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.12	0.02	19	43%	-0.09	5	-0.16	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	27.4	16.3	30.4	1.8	42.3	146.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.8%

SAC -1.6%

SAC -8.2%

ATL +17.5%

ATL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAC	NBA	ATL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	13.6	15.1	112.2	105.1	104.2
season	14.9	14.9		106.7	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.4		107.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.8	16.4	12.6	18.1	15.8
SAC	11.5	14.9	14.1	14.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	62	57	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.34	11	-4	15	15.4	16.6	-1.23	14.1	12.8	1.29
Jeff Teague	74	75	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-2	11	15.3	17.4	-2.13	13.6	13.5	0.14
Paul Millsap	70	72	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-4	15	15.0	17.7	-2.72	13.9	12.6	1.32
Pero Antic	37	36	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	3	1	14.9	16.3	-1.43	12.3	14.3	-1.97
DeMarre Carroll	71	74	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	1	5	15.1	17.8	-2.72	13.7	13.3	0.33
Elton Brand	52	50	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	3	1	16.2	15.3	0.86	14.8	12.3	2.45
Dennis Schroder	47	47	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	7	-7	16.6	15.1	1.56	12.8	14.3	-1.53
Mike Muscala	37	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	12	-17	17.6	14.7	2.87	12.8	14.1	-1.28
Shelvin Mack	40	42	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	12	-17	17.8	14.4	3.45	13.3	13.8	-0.52

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	15	15	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.10	6	-13	19	14.8	13.4	1.44	18.5	15.3	3.14
Andre Miller	57	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.43	12	-19	31	13.3	14.0	-0.64	17.5	13.7	3.81
Ben McLemore	58	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-9	11	13.7	13.4	0.35	16.0	15.5	0.44
Derrick Williams	30	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-2	-3	13.1	13.8	-0.74	16.6	15.5	1.11
Nik Stauskas	55	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	13.0	14.4	-1.41	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Jason Thompson	45	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.30	1	-8	9	13.6	13.5	0.08	16.5	15.2	1.31
Carl Landry	36	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	5	-17	13.8	13.5	0.35	14.8	16.4	-1.58
Ray McCallum	47	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	10	-27	13.7	13.4	0.31	13.7	17.9	-4.22
DeMarcus Cousins	73	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	13.4	14.2	-0.83	15.0	17.9	-2.87
Omri Casspi	74	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.15	-12	5	-17	14.1	12.1	1.98	15.7	16.2	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.33,0.24,0.36,0.32,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 104, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.43,0.16,0	92.5%
MIL 113, MIN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.1,0	92.5%
CLE 108, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.33,0.32,0.16,0.23,0.08,0	92.4%