NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	114		Excitement	9.7 [82]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): +21.4%
Orlando Magic	110		Comeback	249.0 [3]		LVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): -22.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.21	0.02	0.20	0.00	14	56%	0.33	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.16	0.08	0.10	0.02	10	73%	0.31	2	-0.15	2	50%	-0.00
Alex Len	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	8	75%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	12	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lamb	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	23	48%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.00	8	75%	0.07	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.02	10	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chimezie Metu	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	7	12%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.07	0.01	9	71%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.08	0.00	8	56%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.01	14	55%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	14	64%	0.18	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Dowtin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	16	41%	0.01	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22	-0.22	-0.01	-0.21	0.00	21	44%	-0.14	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.6	2.5	26.6	15.4	25.5	2.2	25.6	2.4	12.4	134.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +28.2%

SAC +4.4%

SAC +16.1%

SAC +4.1%

ORL -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ORL	NBA	SAC	ORL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.5	14.5	107.5	101.9	110.8
season	14.0	14.4		109.2	103.4
opponent	14.4	14.6		111.5	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	12.5	16.3	15.1	17.1	16.3	15.3
ORL	15.7	13.7	12.6	15.6	15.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Jones	49	51	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.59	14	-10	24	14.4	16.0	-1.65	15.4	13.6	1.82
Trey Lyles	72	71	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-7	18	15.2	15.4	-0.25	15.5	12.5	2.95
Davion Mitchell	89	91	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-9	22	15.1	15.9	-0.80	14.8	12.6	2.21
Harrison Barnes	80	81	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	-5	14	14.9	16.5	-1.68	14.6	14.0	0.65
Donte DiVincenzo	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	3	-2	15.9	14.3	1.56	13.8	15.4	-1.62
Jeremy Lamb	28	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	10	-16	16.5	14.8	1.62	13.7	14.7	-1.00
Justin Holiday	72	73	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	12	-20	14.8	16.4	-1.59	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Chimezie Metu	33	36	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.13	-8	12	-20	15.8	15.0	0.83	12.7	15.3	-2.60
Alex Len	44	45	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.24	-6	10	-16	16.1	14.7	1.48	13.6	15.1	-1.50

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	39	38	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.07	5	-9	14	14.4	14.5	-0.03	16.4	14.6	1.83
Terrence Ross	39	37	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.11	3	-7	10	14.4	14.5	-0.03	16.1	14.8	1.24
Moritz Wagner	39	37	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.11	3	-7	10	14.4	14.5	-0.03	16.1	14.8	1.24
Markelle Fultz	42	39	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.13	1	-5	6	14.1	14.7	-0.63	15.9	14.9	0.95
Jeff Dowtin	41	39	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.15	0	-4	4	13.7	14.9	-1.20	15.4	15.2	0.22
R.J. Hampton	67	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.54	-4	0	-4	14.9	13.7	1.20	15.2	15.4	-0.22
Cole Anthony	66	67	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.52	-5	1	-6	14.7	14.1	0.63	14.9	15.9	-0.95
Franz Wagner	69	69	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.49	-7	3	-10	14.5	14.4	0.03	14.8	16.1	-1.24
Chuma Okeke	69	69	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.49	-7	3	-10	14.5	14.4	0.03	14.8	16.1	-1.24
Mo Bamba	69	68	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.45	-9	5	-14	14.5	14.4	0.03	14.6	16.4	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.34,0.39,0.27,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.73,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.68,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 126, MIL 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.73,0	89.6%
POR 115, DEN 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.78,0.85,0	88.9%
NYK 104, ATL 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.76,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	87.6%