NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	6.5 [565]		MVP	Courtney Lee (NYK): +25.3%
Atlanta Hawks	116		Comeback	4.3 [235]		LVP	Kyle O'Quinn (NYK): -11.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.23	0.04	0.02	14	87%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	18	64%	0.19	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	16	63%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	59%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	4	62%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	10	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	8	80%	0.22	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.06	0.03	12	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cavanaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	18	63%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.01	10	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Josh Magette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	0.06	14	43%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	28.2	14.5	23.6	2.4	25.9	121.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +1.7%

NYK -4.6%

ATL +13.4%

ATL +34.6%

ATL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.8	14.7	106.1	119.6	107.5
season	14.9	14.6		105.9	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		109.8	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.0	15.0	16.0	15.2	14.8
ATL	14.7	13.8	14.0	16.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	51	50	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	14.4	15.1	-0.70	13.6	16.0	-2.38
Courtney Lee	77	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-10	8	14.4	16.2	-1.87	14.6	15.2	-0.59
Frank Ntilikina	28	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-5	-2	16.7	14.0	2.68	15.6	14.4	1.12
Kristaps Porzingis	76	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-11	10	14.1	17.2	-3.17	14.5	15.9	-1.38
Lance Thomas	22	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-1	-10	17.2	14.1	3.17	15.9	14.5	1.38
Jarrett Jack	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-7	2	14.0	16.7	-2.68	14.4	15.6	-1.12
Willy Hernangomez	34	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-2	-8	16.0	14.1	1.89	15.5	14.4	1.11
Doug McDermott	55	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	0	-12	14.9	14.6	0.33	15.5	13.8	1.72
Tim Hardaway Jr.	77	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	3	-18	14.7	14.9	-0.12	14.8	14.7	0.08

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	64	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	0	12	15.2	14.0	1.17	13.9	16.3	-2.37
Dewayne Dedmon	52	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	4	4	14.9	14.7	0.20	14.2	15.5	-1.30
Taurean Prince	66	67	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	3	6	14.1	16.2	-2.04	14.1	16.3	-2.23
Marco Belinelli	52	55	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	-1	14	15.4	14.1	1.28	15.3	14.1	1.12
Dennis Schroder	73	73	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	7	-2	14.3	16.2	-1.91	13.8	17.6	-3.75
Tyler Cavanaugh	23	24	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	7	-2	14.6	14.8	-0.22	15.6	14.5	1.08
Josh Magette	24	25	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	5	2	16.2	14.3	1.91	17.6	13.8	3.75
DeAndre' Bembry	30	30	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	8	-4	15.9	14.3	1.68	17.0	13.8	3.27
Ersan Ilyasova	51	52	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	15	-18	14.4	15.2	-0.89	15.1	14.4	0.62
John Collins	50	48	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	12	-12	14.2	15.4	-1.14	14.8	14.7	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.76,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	93.7%
SAS 79, POR 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,1	93.3%
DAL 85, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	92.9%