NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	85		Excitement	5.8 [685]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): +27.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	4.0 [430]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -13.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.01	18	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Maurice Ager	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	47%	-0.00	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Devean George	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	7	37%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	20	40%	-0.00	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.19	0.11	0.03	15	76%	0.28	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.07	0.02	15	58%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	13	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.04	0.03	13	43%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.7	31.1	16.4	25.4	2.4	31.6	133.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +28.0%

DAL -0.9%

LAC +11.7%

LAC +10.5%

LAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.4	90.4	112.0	104.5
season	16.3	15.7		108.7	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.2		103.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.8	16.0	17.6	15.2	15.6
LAC	17.0	12.1	16.7	16.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	12	12	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.09	-2	-16	14	14.2	15.8	-1.64	12.3	15.8	-3.49
Maurice Ager	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-14	10	9.2	15.9	-6.63	14.0	15.4	-1.43
DeSagana Diop	20	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-16	14	16.4	15.4	1.02	16.5	15.0	1.43
Greg Buckner	43	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-15	12	15.9	15.4	0.49	15.0	15.6	-0.58
Devean George	7	7	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-11	4	15.1	15.6	-0.49	22.0	14.8	7.18
Devin Harris	57	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.08	-5	-13	8	15.3	16.1	-0.76	15.5	15.2	0.29
Erick Dampier	57	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-9	0	15.5	15.8	-0.31	14.9	16.1	-1.28
Anthony Johnson	38	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-3	-12	15.7	15.6	0.10	15.2	15.5	-0.21
Jason Terry	78	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-6	-6	15.7	14.9	0.87	15.1	16.5	-1.37
Dirk Nowitzki	82	81	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	0.00	-16	-2	-14	15.7	14.7	1.07	15.6	13.7	1.87
Jerry Stackhouse	72	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	-3	-12	15.8	14.8	1.02	15.5	14.8	0.72

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	73	75	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.09	22	-4	26	15.9	13.2	2.72	15.0	17.8	-2.82
Sam Cassell	71	73	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.01	18	0	18	14.5	18.3	-3.78	16.2	13.3	2.91
Quinton Ross	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	4	10	16.4	13.2	3.17	15.6	15.6	-0.07
Shaun Livingston	61	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.08	16	2	14	14.6	16.9	-2.36	15.6	15.5	0.15
Elton Brand	68	70	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.11	17	1	16	15.2	15.7	-0.46	15.2	16.6	-1.38
Corey Maggette	60	61	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	8	2	14.9	16.2	-1.21	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Tim Thomas	30	30	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	19	-20	14.7	15.7	-0.94	16.1	15.4	0.74
Paul Davis	4	3	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	15	-12	12.2	15.5	-3.26	26.7	15.2	11.44
James Singleton	11	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	15	-12	17.5	15.1	2.37	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Chris Kaman	20	20	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	30	-42	17.7	14.7	2.98	14.8	15.8	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	93.3%
PHX 114, PHI 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,1	93.2%
NYK 104, ATL 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.76,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	92.9%