NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	6.3 [571]		MVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): +11.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	3.1 [633]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -13.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	15	62%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Adams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	11	64%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.03	14	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Antoine Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	62%	0.05	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04
Richard Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	15	41%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06
Jason Kidd	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	7	50%	0.01	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	8	69%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	6	76%	0.16	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Luke Walton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.01	16	52%	0.17	3	-0.10	8	75%	0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.03	-0.02	24	37%	0.00	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	30.4	16.4	29.5	2.5	34.5	139.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.8%

LAL +5.2%

LAL +1.8%

LAL +6.9%

NJN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	LAL	NBA	NJN	LAL	NBA
this game	13.2	16.8	15.4	95.9	104.2	104.5
season	15.4	15.3		103.1	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.7		107.3	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	11.7	13.2	15.0	13.2	13.2
LAL	17.3	18.7	15.0	16.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	13	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-5	4	12.2	13.4	-1.25	18.6	16.5	2.04
Hassan Adams	6	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-6	6	9.0	13.5	-4.52	24.7	16.3	8.40
Antoine Wright	20	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-1	-4	15.5	12.6	2.85	14.3	17.4	-3.11
Nenad Krstic	75	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-10	14	12.2	16.7	-4.51	17.4	14.8	2.58
Mikki Moore	29	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	0	-6	15.4	12.3	3.10	16.0	17.1	-1.07
Marcus Williams	37	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	5	-16	14.3	12.6	1.71	14.9	17.9	-2.99
Jason Kidd	78	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-5	4	12.8	15.2	-2.45	17.4	14.4	2.97
Jason Collins	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-4	2	13.2	13.4	-0.27	16.7	17.1	-0.38
Vince Carter	82	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.34	-3	-3	0	12.6	16.7	-4.06	16.9	16.1	0.85
Richard Jefferson	76	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	-1	-4	14.1	10.2	3.83	16.5	18.1	-1.63

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	81	82	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	1	4	17.5	12.7	4.79	12.7	16.1	-3.43
Kobe Bryant	85	87	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.31	3	3	0	16.9	16.1	0.78	12.7	17.6	-4.86
Kwame Brown	54	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	-4	14	15.8	18.1	-2.24	13.5	13.0	0.48
Luke Walton	76	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	5	-4	17.3	14.7	2.58	12.7	15.7	-2.99
Smush Parker	63	66	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	5	-4	17.4	15.7	1.68	11.9	16.0	-4.06
Jordan Farmar	32	31	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	1	4	15.7	17.4	-1.68	16.0	11.9	4.06
Andrew Bynum	37	39	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	5	-4	18.4	15.8	2.63	12.9	13.4	-0.48
Maurice Evans	26	26	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	2	2	14.6	17.6	-3.01	16.1	12.2	3.88
Vladimir Radmanovic	17	17	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	1	4	14.1	17.4	-3.34	16.2	12.6	3.64
Ronny Turiaf	4	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	11	-16	15.0	16.9	-1.88	14.0	13.2	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 91, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.6%
HOU 108, OKC 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	93.9%
PHX 114, PHI 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,1	93.8%