NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	91		Excitement	5.7 [704]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +16.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	3.0 [510]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -30.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.04	15	57%	0.14	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.04
Daequan Cook	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	15	42%	-0.09	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	-0.31	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.31,-0.31	-0.03	-0.17	0.10	24	48%	-0.17	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	26	57%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.03	-0.00	14	66%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.02	1	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	9	46%	0.02	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	9	35%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	30.5	15.6	27.0	1.8	45.0	148.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +36.1%

POR +8.8%

OKC -22.9%

POR +28.3%

OKC -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	16.7	17.2	15.5	105.8	116.7	105.7
season	15.0	16.5		108.8	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.1	15.8	23.3	13.0	16.7
POR	19.9	13.5	17.6	18.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	41	40	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.25	15	-22	37	15.3	18.0	-2.66	19.0	15.5	3.48
Thabo Sefolosha	26	25	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-10	13	17.0	16.6	0.47	18.2	16.7	1.45
Daequan Cook	19	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-1	-5	15.5	17.0	-1.52	15.6	17.7	-2.07
Eric Maynor	24	21	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	1	-9	15.4	17.2	-1.85	16.3	17.5	-1.19
Russell Westbrook	62	63	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.32	1	-8	9	17.2	15.4	1.85	17.5	16.3	1.19
Kevin Durant	68	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-8	9	16.8	16.3	0.55	17.5	16.2	1.32
Nick Collison	31	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	1	-9	15.9	17.1	-1.21	17.4	17.0	0.40
Nazr Mohammed	35	35	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	4	-15	17.7	16.1	1.60	16.4	17.7	-1.29
Serge Ibaka	62	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	6	-19	17.9	13.6	4.34	17.3	17.0	0.25
James Harden	62	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.30	-9	2	-11	16.4	17.6	-1.21	16.0	20.5	-4.44

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	77	79	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	1	5	16.9	19.7	-2.77	15.7	28.1	-12.45
Nicolas Batum	61	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	1	5	16.4	19.3	-2.93	16.1	18.4	-2.28
LaMarcus Aldridge	71	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	4	-1	17.2	17.0	0.21	17.1	14.5	2.57
Andre Miller	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	4	-1	18.1	15.2	2.94	17.5	15.2	2.27
Rudy Fernandez	49	51	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	5	-3	16.5	18.1	-1.65	14.0	20.7	-6.71
Brandon Roy	26	29	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	1	5	15.6	17.9	-2.32	15.7	17.2	-1.54
Marcus Camby	43	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	3	1	18.7	15.6	3.06	18.9	14.7	4.24
Wesley Matthews	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	2	3	17.8	16.7	1.05	20.2	14.2	5.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	94.6%
ATL 76, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
CHA 92, LAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.55,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.88,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%