NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	114		Excitement	6.5 [568]		MVP	Mike Muscala (PHI): +26.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	119		Comeback	3.5 [814]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (PHX): -12.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.00	0.02	28	59%	0.21	2	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
T.J. Warren	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.02	15	62%	0.19	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Deandre Ayton	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	11	71%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Mikal Bridges	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.13	-0.01	0.09	7	93%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.05
Troy Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	8	56%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Isaiah Canaan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	6	7%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.10	0.00	6	83%	0.27	0	0.00	11	82%	0.03
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	23	57%	0.24	6	-0.15	12	75%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	13	57%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	9	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.02
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	59%	0.07	4	-0.09	6	17%	-0.07
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	1.6	30.7	14.4	29.4	1.8	35.3	142.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +0.3%

PHI +22.4%

PHI +32.7%

PHX -3.2%

PHX -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	14.3	12.9	14.3	107.5	112.3	109.3
season	14.4	14.0		104.8	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.0		108.1	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	15.8	17.0	11.4	14.3
PHI	12.2	11.9	12.5	14.9	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Daniels	6	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-2	-1	16.3	14.1	2.18	10.4	13.0	-2.62
Josh Jackson	26	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-4	3	15.0	14.0	1.01	13.4	12.8	0.61
Richaun Holmes	45	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-4	3	15.5	13.4	2.11	12.2	13.4	-1.26
Mikal Bridges	51	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-12	19	13.1	15.3	-2.19	13.5	12.3	1.19
Trevor Ariza	92	91	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-8	11	14.1	15.4	-1.25	13.1	11.9	1.12
T.J. Warren	87	87	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-4	3	13.8	16.5	-2.68	13.2	11.6	1.54
Devin Booker	82	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-5	5	14.1	14.7	-0.56	12.7	13.8	-1.13
Isaiah Canaan	46	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	7	-19	14.8	13.9	0.86	12.6	13.1	-0.44
Deandre Ayton	61	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-1	-3	13.4	15.5	-2.11	13.4	12.2	1.26
Jamal Crawford	34	34	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	8	-21	16.4	13.3	3.06	11.8	13.4	-1.62

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	78	77	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.09	18	-13	31	12.5	14.0	-1.50	14.8	12.9	1.85
JJ Redick	64	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-6	17	12.3	13.8	-1.47	13.6	15.2	-1.63
Mike Muscala	53	50	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	1	3	12.7	13.1	-0.36	14.0	14.5	-0.44
T.J. McConnell	18	18	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	-1	7	13.2	12.8	0.39	15.9	13.9	2.01
Jimmy Butler	71	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	7	-9	13.1	12.6	0.48	13.8	15.2	-1.37
Wilson Chandler	67	70	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.33	-3	8	-11	13.3	12.2	1.17	14.1	14.7	-0.64
Furkan Korkmaz	35	34	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	-2	9	12.6	13.1	-0.48	15.2	13.8	1.37
Ben Simmons	71	72	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.30	-3	8	-11	13.1	12.5	0.66	13.8	15.2	-1.33
Markelle Fultz	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	3	-1	11.6	13.1	-1.49	14.3	14.3	0.05
Landry Shamet	42	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	11	-17	13.8	12.3	1.47	15.2	13.6	1.63
Amir Johnson	14	15	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.08	-9	14	-23	13.7	12.8	0.94	13.5	14.4	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 90, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.96,1	94.1%
DEN 98, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
NJN 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	93.8%