NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	79		Excitement	7.0 [380]		MVP	Chuck Person (SAS): +5.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	82		Comeback	4.3 [313]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -26.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuck Person	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	0.05	-0.05	0.00	17	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	11	50%	-0.01	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	14	47%	0.01	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	-0.03	9	11%	-0.15	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.18	-0.02	-0.18	-0.01	4	45%	-0.18	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.19
David Robinson	-0.27	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27	-0.20	-0.11	-0.05	12	42%	-0.08	5	-0.18	14	57%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	90%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.05	-0.02	14	47%	0.09	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.02
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	14	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	42%	-0.04	1	-0.05	11	82%	0.04
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	0.00	-0.02	18	33%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.7	25.2	15.5	22.9	1.5	38.1	126.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +29.1%

POR +5.4%

POR +7.0%

POR +7.7%

POR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	17.3	14.9	15.6	87.8	92.1	102.5
season	15.9	15.9		100.9	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.9		100.6	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.9	18.2	16.9	17.4	17.3
POR	13.7	17.8	13.1	15.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chuck Person	28	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-4	5	17.4	17.2	0.19	16.0	14.4	1.66
Cory Alexander	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	18.2	17.2	1.04	19.0	14.5	4.54
Will Perdue	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	3	-9	17.2	17.3	-0.12	13.1	15.2	-2.16
Monty Williams	40	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	3	-9	19.4	15.6	3.73	15.8	14.2	1.53
Sean Elliott	53	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-5	7	17.0	17.8	-0.78	14.8	15.0	-0.22
David Robinson	80	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.47	2	-5	7	17.0	19.9	-2.92	15.0	13.9	1.09
Avery Johnson	82	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	1	-5	17.2	18.2	-1.04	14.5	19.0	-4.54
Tim Duncan	63	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-3	3	16.9	18.3	-1.48	14.5	15.9	-1.44
Jaren Jackson	81	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.46	-5	2	-7	17.1	18.9	-1.77	14.7	17.0	-2.35

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	70	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.41	7	-4	11	14.0	18.0	-3.99	17.0	18.5	-1.50
Arvydas Sabonis	67	66	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	-1	5	13.9	17.9	-3.98	16.6	19.3	-2.77
Alvin Williams	30	30	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-6	15	16.3	14.1	2.16	18.7	16.6	2.10
Kenny Anderson	71	73	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.43	-3	6	-9	14.1	17.9	-3.79	17.4	16.8	0.59
Rasheed Wallace	74	73	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	6	-9	15.0	14.1	0.96	17.3	17.1	0.22
Isaiah Rider	76	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	2	-1	14.9	14.9	-0.07	16.6	20.7	-4.12
Kelvin Cato	31	33	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	1	1	16.1	14.2	1.84	17.8	17.0	0.77
Rick Brunson	5	6	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	6	-9	20.2	14.5	5.65	16.8	17.3	-0.50
Gary Trent	21	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	2	-1	17.8	14.0	3.85	19.8	16.5	3.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 80, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.97,1,1	93.5%
NYK 104, ATL 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.76,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	93.3%
NJN 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	92.9%