inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 106 Excitement7.7 [326] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +24.0%
Sacramento Kings 100 Comeback1.6 [803] LVPAaron Gordon (DEN): -13.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.240,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.05,0.22,0.240.180.080.022467%0.303-0.06989%0.02
Monte Morris0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.120.110.030.021180%0.183-0.06367%-0.00
Bryn Forbes0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.03-0.011150%0.0700.0000%0.00
Davon Reed0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01658%0.0200.0000%0.00
Austin Rivers0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.02837%0.061-0.0600%0.00
JaMychal Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.00360%0.052-0.064100%0.03
Zeke Nnaji-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.02383%0.066-0.1400%0.00
Facundo Campazzo-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.030.03520%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Aaron Gordon-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13-0.04-0.11-0.011048%-0.063-0.073100%0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.050.10-0.031161%0.221-0.04667%0.02
De'Aaron Fox0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.060.060.12-0.010.052364%0.113-0.054100%0.06
Justin Holiday0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.00-0.01847%0.0300.001100%0.00
Chimezie Metu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.02-0.00675%0.123-0.1000%0.00
Alex Len0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.030.00-0.010.021254%0.043-0.07250%-0.01
Davion Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.060.00667%0.123-0.1900%0.00
Damian Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.01935%-0.052-0.06540%-0.05
Donte DiVincenzo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.0250%-0.111-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.81.030.415.328.62.033.2134.3
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +6.6%
DEN +6.4%
DEN +36.4%
DEN +0.2%
DEN +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSACNBADENSACNBA
this game15.613.614.5107.1102.0110.8
season14.814.0113.4109.2
opponent14.614.4114.4111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.414.616.616.015.6
SAC15.314.212.212.813.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic69700.480.020.460.3060617.112.44.7113.114.7-1.64
Aaron Gordon67680.420.080.340.3333017.012.84.1413.114.8-1.71
Austin Rivers65650.380.120.260.3806-616.813.53.2212.715.4-2.69
Monte Morris61610.370.130.240.3124-216.614.12.5012.615.3-2.71
Zeke Nnaji42400.360.140.220.1960614.816.3-1.4914.213.21.04
Davon Reed46460.210.29-0.090.1233016.215.21.0713.213.9-0.77
Facundo Campazzo38370.130.37-0.240.0142214.116.6-2.5015.312.62.71
Bryn Forbes34330.120.38-0.26-0.0660613.516.8-3.2215.412.72.69
DeMarcus Cousins30280.020.48-0.460.0206-612.417.1-4.7114.713.11.64
JaMychal Green43420.010.49-0.470.0106-613.817.1-3.2814.313.11.23

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chimezie Metu3941-0.08-0.420.34-0.111-7813.413.7-0.2812.917.6-4.64
Alex Len1920-0.14-0.350.210.00-5-1-414.213.40.7117.715.12.64
Justin Holiday6565-0.17-0.330.15-0.11-2-4213.813.20.5615.216.5-1.34
De'Aaron Fox7475-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.301-7812.915.8-2.9316.413.33.11
Harrison Barnes7979-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.311-7813.215.1-1.8916.412.73.69
Davion Mitchell4143-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.331-7814.113.20.9315.615.7-0.07
Damian Jones7979-0.35-0.14-0.21-0.33-1-5413.414.2-0.7115.117.7-2.64
Donte DiVincenzo2424-0.38-0.12-0.260.03-148-2215.612.92.7113.916.2-2.34
Trey Lyles7069-0.520.02-0.55-0.17-126-1813.713.40.2616.713.33.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.28,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.41,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 123, MEM 1190.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.15,091.4%
LAL 93, HOU 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.08,091.3%
MIN 108, NJN 1010.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.09,0.04,091.1%